Estimating pollen productivity and relevant source area of pollen using lake sediments in Norway: How does lake size variation affect the estimates?

Abstract

This study aims to estimate relative pollen productivity (PPEs) of major pollen types and the relevant source area of pollen (RSAP) in a semi-open landscape in western Norway. Extended R-value (ERV) models are used to analyse a data set consisting of surface pollen assemblages from 34 lakes and vegetation survey around each site. Ordination techniques indicate relatively short gradients (<2.3 SD) both in the vegetation and pollen data sets. The lake sizes vary from 0.4 ha to 19.0 ha (mean=5.7 ha, sd=4.3 ha) but follow a normal distribution – a departure from the assumption of the ERV models that the lake size should be constant among sites. Simulations demonstrate that, if the sizes of circular-shaped lakes follow a normal distribution, the ERV model-based methods provide the expected PPE and RSAP values using a standardized lake radius. If the distribution is highly skewed or equally random around the mean, the results are not reliable. We apply the analytical strategy implied from the simulations to obtain relative PPEs and the RSAP in western Norway. PPEs for ten taxa (Alnus, Fagus, Picea, Pinus, Quercus, Juniperus, Salix, Calluna, Cyperaceae, Rumex) relative to Poaceae are comparable with some of those previously obtained in different parts of Europe, indicating that there are general patterns of high and low pollen producers that will be useful for reconstruction purposes. The RSAP estimate is the area within a radius of 900–1100 m. This study demonstrates the importance of careful evaluation of the extent to which the departures from the model assumptions affect the outcomes from the ERV model-based analysis.