Developing a comprehensive model for new energy replacement in the country’s development program using a robust optimization approach

Abstract

Iran has numerous capabilities in producing new and renewable energies due to its geographical location. This stresses a robust optimization pattern to develop the use of renewable energies. The main aim of this study is to develop a comprehensive pattern for energy in two scenarios: maintenance of status quo or transition to replaceable energies by applying energy replacement modeling in Iran. Therefore, a set of basic and structural issues, required area for energy and environmental location, were investigated to arrange an appropriate strategic framework for new energy development. Following energy system modeling by benchmarking against the world’s optimized systems of energy, strategic program of energy has been done through a review of the present situation of energy of Iran. To replace the fossil fuels by renewable energies, a robust optimization model was designed and the replacement optimization routes for new energies to replace fossil fuels were put into scenarios in a period of time in Iran. Implementing and developing a comprehensive model for energy and using simulation for validation and adaptation of the obtained results, some scenarios were offered for the renewable energy transitions. Evaluating the results of the findings suggests broad concepts of energy. Development might be observed in the results of models. The result of this study depicts that Iran owns a large number of potentials to use new energies. The long-term optimization pattern of results proposes 15% of electricity is taken from solar energy in the 1404.