ArmstrongJ. S.CollopyF. (1992). Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons. International Journal of Forecasting, 8, 69–80. doi:10.1016/0169-2070(92)90008-W
2.
HerzogS. M.HertwigR. (2009). The wisdom of many in one mind: Improving individual judgments with dialectical bootstrapping. Psychological Science, 20, 231–237. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9280.2009.02271.x
3.
HoffrageU.HertwigR.GigerenzerG. (2000). Hindsight bias: A by-product of knowledge updating?Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 26, 566–581. doi:10.1037/0278-7393.26.3.566
4.
HourihanK. L.BenjaminA. S. (2010). Smaller is better (when sampling from the crowd within): Low memory span individuals benefit more from multiple opportunities for estimation. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 36, 1068–1074. doi:10.1037/a0019694
5.
LordC. G.LepperM. R.PrestonE. (1984). Considering the opposite: A corrective strategy for social judgment. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 47, 1231–1243. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.47.6.1231
PohlR. F. (2007). Ways to assess hindsight bias. Social Cognition, 25, 14–31. doi:10.1521/soco.2007.25.1.14
8.
RauhutH.LorenzJ. (2011). The wisdom of crowds in one mind: How individuals can simulate the knowledge of diverse societies to reach better decisions. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 55, 191–197. doi:10.1016/j.jmp.2010.10.002
9.
StroopJ. (1932). Is the judgment of the group better than that of the average member of the group?Journal of Experimental Psychology, 15, 550–562. doi:10.1037/h0070482
10.
SurowieckiJ. (2004). The wisdom of crowds: Why the many are smarter than the few and how collective wisdom shapes business, economies, societies and nations. Garden City, NY: Doubleday.
11.
VulE.PashlerH. (2008). Measuring the crowd within: Probabilistic representations within individuals. Psychological Science, 19, 645–647. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9280.2008.02136.x
12.
WhiteC. M.AntonakisJ. (2013). Quantifying accuracy improvement in sets of pooled judgments: Does dialectical bootstrapping work?Psychological Science, 24, 115–116.
13.
WinklerR. L. (2003). An introduction to Bayesian inference and decision (2nd ed.). Gainesville, FL: Probabilistic.