Study objectives were to evaluate the 1-hour decision point for discharge or
admission for acute asthma; to compare this decision point to the admission
recommendations of the Expert Panel Report 2 (EPR-2) guidelines; to develop a
model for predicting need for admission in acute asthma. The design used was a
prospective preinterventional and postinterventional comparison. The setting was a
university hospital emergency department. Participants included 50 patients
seeking care for acute asthma. Patients received standard therapy and were
randomized to receive albuterol by nebulizer or metered-dose inhaler with spacer
every 20 minutes up to 2 hours. Symptoms, physical examination, spirometry, pulsus
paradoxus, medication use, and outcome were evaluated. Based on clinical judgment,
the attending physician decided to admit or discharge after 1 hour of therapy.
Outcome was compared to the EPR-2 guidelines. Post hoc statistical analyses
examined predictors of the need for admission from which a prediction model was
developed. Maximal accuracy of the admit versus discharge decision occurred at 1
hour of therapy. Using FEV
1
alone as an outcome predictor yielded suboptimal performance. FEV
1
at 1 hour plus ability to lie flat without dyspnea were the best indicators of
response and outcome. A model predictive of the need for admission was developed.
It performed better (
P
= .0054) than the admission algorithm of the EPR-2 guidelines. The decision to
admit or discharge acute asthmatics from the ED can be made at 1 hour of therapy.
No absolute value of peak flow or FEV
1
reliably predicts need for hospital admission. The EPR-2 guideline thresholds
for admission are barely adequate as outcome predictors. A clinical model is
proposed that may allow more accurate outcome prediction.