A simple computer simulation model that predicts airplane landing performance on runways to locate high-speed exits is presented. A Monte Carlo simulation algorithm and empirical heuristics derived from field observations were used to estimate landing-roll trajectories that can be programmed quickly in a personal computer. The modeling process demonstrates statistically the validity of treating landing-roll profiles of various airplane models individually to locate high-speed exits. The model developed can be applied to a variety of airports and airplane types and is offered as an alternative to conventional methods for locating high-speed exits as well as a complement to more rigorous optimization methods.
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