Abstract
A reduction in accidents, particularly secondary ones, is often cited as one of the primary benefits of a freeway traffic management system (FTMS) such as that implemented on a segment of Highway 401 in Toronto, Canada. The safety effect of this FTMS was estimated from the parameters of regression models calibrated for the preimplementation period (1989–1990) and the postimplementation period (1991–1992). Separate models were calibrated for express, collector, and conventional divided roadway sections and for rear-end, non-rear-end, and all injury accidents. For rear-end injury accidents, model parameters were estimated for day and night conditions. The aggregate results show a substantial decrease in the expected number of rear-end injury accidents on all three types of roadway following the implementation of the FTMS.
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