Development of an Artificial Neural Network-Based k -Value Prediction Model to Improve the Sensitivity of Base Layer on Rigid Pavement Performance

Abstract

The performance of rigid pavement is greatly affected by the properties of the base/subbase and subgrade layer. However, the performance predicted by the AASHTOWare Pavement Mechanistic-Empirical (ME) Design shows low sensitivity to the properties of base and subgrade layers. In this study, a new set of modified models, that is, resilient modulus (M_R) and modulus of subgrade reaction (k-value) are adopted to better reflect these layers’ influence on the overall performance. An artificial neural network (ANN) model is developed to predict the modified k-value based on finite element (FE) analysis. The training and validation data sets in the ANN model consist of 27,000 simulation cases with different combinations of pavement layer thickness, layer modulus, and slab-base interface bond ratio. Eight pavement section data are collected from the long-term pavement performance (LTPP) database and modeled using the FE software ISLAB2000 to evaluate the sensitivity of the modified M_R model and k-values to pavement performance. The computational results indicate that the modified M_R values have a higher sensitivity to water content in the base layer on fatigue cracking (bottom-up and top-down cracking) and the faulting performance of rigid pavements compared with the results using the Pavement ME design model. It is also observed that the k-values using the ANN model have a greater sensitivity to cracking and faulting performance as a result of changes in any bonded conditions (fully bonded, partially bonded, zero bonded), whereas the Pavement ME design model can only calculate at two extreme bonding conditions (i.e., fully bonded and zero bonded).