Validating the Adaptability of Travel Time Reliability Measurements using Probe Data

Abstract

Travel time reliability (TTR) is considered a critical piece of information in highway performance evaluation. The L02 project from Strategic Highway Research Program 2 (SHRP2) has developed a holistic method using statistical probability functions of travel time as the TTR measure to build highway performance evaluation and monitoring systems. Compared with single-value reliability measures, the L02 measure is able to identify sources of unreliability and quantify their associated impacts. To validate the adaptability of L02 measure, TTR analysis on the I-15 freeway corridor in Salt Lake City, Utah using probe data has been conducted. The result is compared against output from the quadrant-based TTR measure that is currently used by the Utah Department of Transportation. Through cross-validation, it is determined that the two suites of measures demonstrate good consistency in relation to reliability assessment and unreliability source diagnoses. In addition, the study provides a method to calibrate the quadrant-based TTR measure, and new critical values were developed based on the cross-validation.