Validation of Enhanced Integrated Climatic Model Predictions with New Jersey Seasonal Monitoring Data

Abstract

Environment is one of the essential factors that influence pavement material behavior and consequently its performance. The variation of climatic patterns from region to region, coupled with the variation of site-specific conditions across North America, makes it difficult to develop standard models to account for seasonal variation in material properties that apply for all regions. Consequently, the need to develop regional models becomes an essential requirement for most transportation departments. The enhanced integrated climatic model (EICM) was evaluated to determine its suitability in predicting subsurface temperature and moisture conditions within New Jersey sites. The validation of the model used environmental data collected through pavement instrumentation of a large-scale research study under the sponsorship of the New Jersey Department of Transportation. Site-specific data were input to the model, and the model output parameters were compared against field-measured values. The results of the validation for two of the instrumented sites are reported. Results of the study do not indicate a high correlation between field-measured values and EICM-predicted temperature and moisture profiles for the various pavement layers.