Abstract
Aims and Background
Service mammography screening has been reported to have suboptimal performance compared to controlled trials. The aim of this study was to evaluate the sensitivity of the mammography screening program in four Local Health Units (ASL) and the possible causes of diagnostic error in cases further surfacing as interval cancers.
Material and methods
Interval cancers were identified by cross checking of screened women databases with hospital discharge records reporting breast cancer. Proportional interval cancer incidence (observed interval cancers/expected invasive cancers) was determined by matching the database of women screened during 1999-2002 to the hospital discharge records databases during 1999-2003. The ratio of observed interval cancer rate to underlying incidence was compared to international standards and with literature data. Screening mammograms reported as negative and followed by interval cancers were randomly mixed with true-negative controls, and the resulting set underwent blind review by an external radiologist who applied the conventional criteria recommended for the classification of the type of diagnostic error (occult, minimal signs, screening error).
Results
Matching of screening archives with the hospital discharge records databases allowed for the identification of 154 invasive interval cancers compared to 480 expected. The proportional observed/expected interval cancer incidence in the first and second year of the interval was 21% and 46%, respectively (ASL 1 = 14% or 38%, ASL 2 = 19% or 48%, ASL 3 = 30% or 53%, ASL 4 = 25% or 49%). Radiological review included 38 further interval cancer cases, identified after the time limits defined for proportional interval cancer incidence assessment, and could not include 18 interval cancers, not retrieved from ASL 4 archives: overall, 174 interval cancers were reviewed, of which 135 were classified as occult (77.3%) (ASL 1 = 83.3%, ASL 2 = 71.1%, ASL 3 = 78.6%, ASL 4 = 75%), 12 (6.9%) as minimal signs (ASL 1 = 6.6%, ASL 2 = 11.5%, ASL 3 = 2.4%, ASL 4 = 5%), and 27 (15.5%) as screening error (ASL 1 = 8.3%, ASL 2 = 17.3%, ASL 3 = 19.0%, ASL 4 = 25%).
Conclusions
Observed proportional interval cancer incidence was lower than commonly reported for service screening programs and currently recommended (<30% in the first, <50% in the second year of the interval). The analysis of interval cancer causes showed a screening error rate below the maximum acceptable standard (<20% of interval cancers should be classified as screening error) in three of four programs and in average figures. Substantial differences observed among single programs (one did not comply to recommended standards) suggest that space is available for the improvement of overall performance by optimizing program organization and by further training of radiologists. Overall, the analysis showed a good sensitivity of the screening program in the Veneto Region, although the performance was inferior to that of excellence centers, and further action to improve it is possible. Assessment and review of interval cancers is an early indicator of screening efficacy which has not yet been fully adopted in Italian screening programs. Although using hospital discharge records to identify interval cancers may be affected by limited errors, such a procedure is particularly convenient, as data from hospital discharge records are available much in advance compared to cancer registries and are the most reliable source of information for areas uncovered by a cancer registry. Hospital discharge records-based procedures for interval cancers assessment should be employed routinely in screening programs.
Get full access to this article
View all access options for this article.