Two Studies of Good Clinical Judgment

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Christensen-Szalanski Jjj : Problem solving strategies. A selection mechanism, some implications, and some data. Organ Behav Hum Perform 22:307-323, 1978

Christensen-Szalanski Jjj : A further examination of the selection of problem solving strategies. The effects of deadlines and analytic aptitudes . Organ Behav Hum Perform 25:107-122, 1980

Edwards W. : Human cognitive capabilities, representativeness, and ground rules for research . Paper delivered at the Eighth Research Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making, Budapest, Hungary, August, 1981

Loftus EF , Beach LR : Human inference and judgment. Is the glass half empty or half full ? Stanford Law Rev, in press

Christensen-Szalanski Jjj , Beach LR : Experience and the base-rate fallacy. Organ Behav Hum Perform 29:270-278, 1982

Christensen-Szalanski Jjj , Beach LR : Believing is not the same as testing. A reply to Beyth-Marom and Arkes. Organ Behav Hum Perform , in press

Hogarth RM : Beyond discrete biases. Functional and dysfunctional aspects of judgmental heuristics. Psychol Bull 90:197-217, 1981

Christensen-Szalanski Jjj , Bushyhead JB : Physicians' use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting. J Exp Psychol (Hum Percept) 7:928-935, 1981

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Thornbury JR , Fryback DG , Edwards W. : Likelihood ratios as a measure of the diagnostic usefulness of excretory urogram information . Radiology 114:561-565, 1975

Wood RW , Tompkins RK , Wolcott BW : An efficient strategy for managing acute respiratory illness in adults . Ann Intern Med 93:757-763, 1980

Bryant GD , Norman GR , Expressions of probability. Words and numbers. N Engl J Med 302:411, 1980

Kenny RM : Between never and always. N Engl J Med 305:1097-1098, 1981

Schwartz WB , Wolfe HJ , Pauker SG : Pathology and probabilities. A new approach to interpreting and reporting biopsies N Engl J Med 305:917-923, 1981

Pauker SG , Kassirer JP : Therapeutic decision making. A cost-benefit analysis. N Engl J Med 293:229-234, 1975

Bushyhead JB , Christensen-Szalanski Jjj : Feedback and the illusion of validity in a medical clinic. Med Decis Making 1:115-123, 1981

Bushyhead JB , Wood RW , Tompkins RW , et al: The effect of chest radiographs on the management and outcome of patients with acute cough . Med Care, in press

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Slovic P. , Fischhoff B. , Lichtenstein S. : Cognitive processes and societal risk taking. In, Carrol JS , Payne JW , eds: Cognition and Social Behavior. Potomac, Md : Erlbaum, 1976

Wood RW , Diehr PH , Wolcott BW , et al: Reproducibility of clinical data and decisions in the management of upper respiratory illnesses. A double-blind comparison of physicians and non-physician providers. Med Care 17:767-769, 1979

Komaroff AL : Algorithms and the "art" of medicine. Am J Public Health 72:10-12, 1982

Phillips LD : A theoretical perspective on heuristics and biases in probabilistic thinking . Paper delivered at the Eighth Research Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making, Budapest, Hungary, August, 1981

Lichtenstein S. , Fischhoff B. , Phillips LD : Calibration of probabilities. The state of the art. In, Jungermann H , deZeuw D , eds: Decision Making and Change m Human Affairs. Amsterdam: D. Reidel , 1977

Lichtenstein S. , Fischhoff B. : Do those who know more also know more about how much they know? The calibration of probability judgments. Organ Behav Hum Perform 20:159-183, 1977

Lichtenstein S. , Fischhoff B. : Training for calibration. Organ Behav Hum Perform 26:149-171, 1980

Fryback DG , Thornbury JR : Evaluation of a computerized Bayesian model for diagnosis of renal cyst vs tumor vs normal variant from excretory urogram information. Invest Radiol 11:102-111, 1976

Wallsten TS : Physician and medical student bias in evaluating diagnostic information. Med Decis Making 1:145-164, 1981