Handling Parameter Uncertainty in Cost-Effectiveness Models Simply and Responsibly

Gold MR Siegel JE Russell LB Weinstein MC . Cost-effectiveness in Health and Medicine. New York: Oxford University Press; 1996.

Ades AE Claxton K Sculpher M . Evidence synthesis, parameter correlation, and probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Health Economics. 2006;15:373–81.

Briggs AH Weinstein MC Fenwick EA . Model parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis: a report of the ISPOR-SMDM Modeling Good Research Practices Task Force Working Group-6. Med Decis Making. 2012;32:722–32.

Andronis L Barton P Bryan S . Sensitivity analysis in economic evaluation: an audit of NICE current practice and a review of its use and value in decision-making. Health Technol Assess. 2009;13:iii, ix–xi, 1–61.

Claxton K Sculpher M McCabe C . Probabilistic sensitivity analysis for NICE technology assessment: not an optional extra. Health Economics. 2005;14:339–47.

Briggs AH Claxton K Sculpher MJ . Decision Modelling for Health Economic Evaluation. New York: Oxford University Press; 2006.

Steuten L van de Wetering G Groothuis-Oudshoorn K Retel V . A systematic and critical review of the evolving methods and applications of value of information in academia and practice. Pharmacoeconomics. 2013;31:25–48.

Strong M Oakley JE . An efficient method for computing single-parameter partial expected value of perfect information. Med Decis Making. 2013;33:755–66.

Briggs A . Handling uncertainty in economic evaluation and presenting the results. In: Drummond MF MacGuire A , eds. Economic Evaluation in Health Care: Merging Theory with Practice. New York: Oxford University Press; 2001.

Bilcke J Beutels P Brisson M Jit M . Accounting for methodological, structural, and parameter uncertainty in decision-analytic models: a practical guide. Med Decis Making. 2011;31:675–92.

Campbell JD McQueen RB Libby AM Spackman DE Carlson JJ Briggs A . Cost-effectiveness uncertainty analysis methods: a comparison of one-way sensitivity, analysis of covariance, and expected value of partial perfect information. Med Decis Making. 2015;53:596–607.