Abstract
Recently, many studies have examined the ICT-economic growth relationship and the democracy-economic growth linkage with conflicting results. However, the study on the moderating effect of internet and mobile usage on the democracy-economic growth relationship is very scanty. This study, therefore, contributes to the economic development literature by examining the impact of internet and mobile usage on the democracy-economic growth relationship in 26 African economies over the period 2000–2020. The panel corrected standard errors (PCSE) estimation technique has been applied. The results show that improving the democratic system in Africa can foster economic growth. Moreover, the result reveals that increasing internet and mobile usage can improves economic growth in Africa. Furthermore, the results reveal that the interaction between internet and mobile usage and democracy can boost economic growth in Africa. Policy implications regarding the moderating effect of internet and mobile usage on the democracy-economic growth nexus are discussed.
Introduction
Economic growth has been always viewed as the basic social progress and political stability, which have been found to play an important role in improving socio-economic outcomes (Asongu and Odhiambo, 2020; Guo et al., 2022; Stawska and Jabłońska, 2022). Many benefits of economic growth have been identified by Stawska and Jabłońska (2022). First, according to Stawska and Jabłońska (2022), the rise of economic growth could improve socio-economic development. For example, it has been argued that economic growth could contribute to improve income distribution. As documented by Hjazeen et al. (2021), through the employment effects, economic growth has the power to lower the unemployment rate. This has been corroborated by Xu et al. (2021) who used 38 African countries over the period 2000–2015 and found that economic growth reduces income inequality through the creation of jobs. Similarly, using 48 African countries over the period 1996–2020, Ofori et al. (2022) confirmed the findings of Xu et al. (2021). In recent years, economic growth has been argued to reduce poverty in developing countries, namely Africa, Asia and Latin America (Dossou et al., 2021; Folarin and Adeniyi, 2019; Zhao, 2020). Second, through the accelerator effect, economic growth is expected to stimulate investments which have the capacity to improve social welfare, income distribution and alleviate poverty. The underlying argument can be explained by the fact that economic growth could contribute to attracting international investments through infrastructural development, security and education improvement (Xu et al., 2022). Finally, through fiscal dividend, higher economic growth has been found to increase tax revenue, which by extension, could contribute to reducing income inequality and poverty.
Over the last two decades, many studies have examined the determinants of economic growth (Asongu and Odhiambo, 2020). Among these determinants, democracy has been found to play a significant role in promoting economic growth. This has led to an investigation on the relationship between economic growth and democracy in recent years (Doucouliagos and Ulubas, 2008; Kabir and Alam, 2021; Sirowy and Inkeles, 1990). According to the authors, the finding regarding the nexus between democracy and economic growth remains mixed. This argument has been supported by Sirowy and Inkeles (1990) who documented that the findings regarding the relationship between democracy and economic growth continue to be plagued by mixed results. One the one hand, economic growth can be improved by democracy. For example, democracy has been argued to promote economic growth through protecting property rights (Kabir and Alam, 2021). As a country is democratized, its resource allocation is efficiently used (Doucouliagos and Ulubas, 2008). As such, it can contribute to promote economic growth. In a more specific way, democracy has been documented to be successful in the distribution of wealth through collecting tax revenue and implementing social policies, which seem to play a crucial role in promoting economic growth (Gerring et al., 2005). Further, the authors argued that democracy has the power to open markets and improve institutions in civil society, which by extension, could contribute to promoting economic growth. On the other hand, democracy can also undermine economic growth. For instance, the Kuznets theory developed by Kuznets (1955) posited that at the early stage of the process of economic development, democracy could contribute to crippling economic growth. The above mixed results regarding the impact of the political democracy on economic growth motivate us to re-examine the subject with new data.
Meanwhile the advent of information and communication technology has boosted every sector or factor (Ben Ali, 2020) that contributes to promote economic growth and improve development outcomes. According to Audi (1990), freedom of the press has been found to play a crucial role in enchanting political democracy, which has been proven to promote economic growth. For example, a report released by Human Right Careers documented that freedom of the press and democracy are interrelated. 1 Further, the report documented that a free press has the power to uncover the truth. This view has been supported by Audi (1990), who posited that a free press has the power to protect people from governmental corruption. This argument has been recently supported by Dossou et al. (2021), Xu et al. (2022), Dossou (2023), Xu et al. (2021), Dossou et al. (2023a, 2023b, 2023c) and Dossou et al. (2023a, 2023b, 2023c), who argued that reducing corruption could contribute to promote economic growth through creating jobs, reducing income inequality and poverty. Similarly, a free press could hold those in political office accountable. In the same vein, abuses of power can be challenged by a free press. This argument is corroboratively supported by Ben Ali (2020) who argued that the power of people can be improved if ICT usage contributes to reporting administrative abuses and registering complaints. Nowadays, we have seen the usage of ICT during elections as it broadcasts information for voters (Ben Ali, 2020). Another angle has been revealed by Ben Ali (2020) who argued that false statements and wrong information can be challenged by the use of ICT during political campaigns. In recent years, ICT has contributed to change the political landscape through revealing high corruption which led to the Arab Spring in North Africa (Ben Ali, 2020; Dossou et al., 2023a, 2023b, 2023c).
The motivation of this study stems from the following paucity of empirical studies on the moderation effect of internet and mobile usage on the democracy-economic growth nexus in Africa. Although some studies have examined the influence of democracy on economic growth and the influence on internet and mobile usage on economic growth in certain countries or regions (Adeleye and Eboagu, 2019; Narayan et al., 2011), the moderating effect of internet and mobile usage on the democracy-economic growth nexus has not yet been empirically explored in Africa. It is fundemental to examine this linkages in Africa beacause of the high level of economic expansion, high level of internet and mobile usage and weak democracy system. Africa has been the focus of this study due to many reasons. First, Africa has experienced the expansion of the mobile phone market in recent years. According to the World Bank (2012), the development landscape has been transformed by the internet and mobile phones, which have been implicated in many economic activies. ICT has been documented to positively affect Africa's growth in recent years (Dossou et al., 2023a, 2023b, 2023c). Further, the World Bank (2012) has pointed several channels, namely the financial sector, trade facilitation, climate change adaptation, health and agriculture that have been seen as a major contributors to economic growth in Africa. Despite the positive effect of ICT on economic growth, its development remains low compared to other developing countries (see Figure 1).

Trends of individuals using the internet (% of population. Source). World Bank (2022).
Second, as apparent in Figure 2 while democracy has been seen as a major factor that contributes to the enhancement of economic growth, African countries continue to deal with autocracy. For example, a finding revealed by the Brooking Institutions documented that 79% of sub-Saharan's population live in governments that have been classified as electoral autocracies (Brooking Institutions, 2023). According to the explanation of the institution, the organization of elections in these countries is close to standard autocratic procedure. This argument has been supported by the Ibrahim Index of African Governance which documented that political participation; right and inclusion are undermined in Africa and almost one-third of the African population lives under an authoritarian regime. A shift toward an autocracy regime can be shown in Burkina Faso, Mali and Guinea where coup d’états have occurred without elections since the year 2020, according to the report of Freedom House. Recently, democracy change has been observed in Tunisia where president Kais Saied has dissolved the country's democratic institutions such as the parliament and installed an authoritarian rule. 2 Moreover, presidents of some countries, namely Cameroon, Togo, Rwanda, Gabon and Uganda inter alia, have maintained power through the rigging elections. 3 According to Fambeu (2021) and Fambeu and Yomi (2023), some countries have relied on anti-terrorism by reducing democratic space. Third, Xu et al. (2021) have pointed out the expansion of economic growth in Africa in recent years. Consequently, it is crucial to conduct an econometric analysis to determine the internet and mobile usage thresholds at which democracy can promote economic growth.

The trend of the level of democracy in Africa, 2000–2020.
Thus, the specific objective of the present study is to examine the moderating effect of internet and mobile usage on the democracy-economic growth nexus in Africa. Essentially, some contributions have been made to the existing literature in the following areas. Firstly, it offers an original idea that focuses on the moderating effect of mobile and internet usage on the relationship between democracy and economic growth in a group of countries. Regarding the political economic and economic development literature in Africa, Fambeu (2021) has for example, investigated the moderating effect of democracy on the relationship between trade and poverty reduction. In the same vein, Fambeu and Yomi (2023) assess the influence of democracy on poverty. Similarly, Acheampong et al. (2022) explored the impact of democracy on environmental quality. In the same account, the effect of corruption and democracy on foreign direct investment has been investigated by Zallé and Ouédraogo (2021) and Gossel (2018). However, the study regarding the relationship between democracy and economic growth is very sparse. A recent exception is Narayan et al. (2011) who examined the democracy-economic growth relationship. However, the study of Narayan et al. (2011) has used democracy proxies from the Freedom house. According to Acheampong and Opoku (2023), recent studies have criticised these proxies due to their inadequacies in terms of specificities. Accordingly, the definition of democracy has been criticised by these studies as it fails to encompass precision, coverage and sources, coding, aggregation, and validity and reliability tests. In essence, with respect to Acheampong and Opoku (2023), democracy should not only be viewed from an election side since it is more than that. Therefore, unlike the study of Narayan et al. (2011) which only used the democracy proxies from the Freedom House, the present study has considered electoral democracy, liberal democracy, participatory democracy, deliberative democracy and egalitarian democracy which are collected from the Variety of Democracy (V-Dem) to proxy democracy. It is important to note that the current study uses these democracy indicators to comprehensively capture divers aspects of a democratic system. Moreover, the study of Narayan et al. (2011) has failed to examine the cross sectional dependence test as Africa has engaged in the process of the African Continental Free Trade Area. According to Xu et al. (2022), Xuanming et al. (2023) and Dossou et al. (2023a, 2023b, 2023c), failing to examine the cross sectional dependence test could lead to a bias result. Second, according to previous studies (Adeleye and Eboagu, 2019; Awad and Albaity, 2022; Fernández-Portillo et al., 2020), the findings regarding the relationship between internet and mobile usage and economic growth are mixed. Following this remark, Kurniawati (2022) has encouraged future research to examine the relationship between internet and mobile usage and economic growth. Third, prior studies regarding the ICT, political economic and economic development literature have failed to examine the moderating effect of internet and mobile usage on the relationship between democracy and economic growth. Prior studies have either examined the influence of democracy on economic growth (Narayan et al., 2011) or the influence of internet and mobile usage on economic growth, whereas the moderating impact has been largely ignored. We therefore fill the gap in the economic development, political economy and ICT literature by investigating the moderating effect of internet and mobile usage on the relationship between democracy and economic growth. A favourable moderation insinuates that internet and mobile usage can promote the positive effect of democracy on economic growth while a deleterious moderation indicates otherwise.
Literature review
This section provides an in-depth explanation of the theoretical background on the ICT-economic growth nexus, and the democracy-economic growth relationship. Several theoretical arguments through which democracy could impact economic growth are also highlighted. Empirical studies regarding the previous studies about the relationship between ICT and economic growth, and the most recent research concerning the relationship between democracy and economic growth are reported in this part. This section also consists of a formalized hypothesis that will enable the researcher to interpret the results. Lastly, a chronological flow of the summary of literature is provided in Tables 1 and 2 focusing on the relationship between ICT and economic growth on the one hand and on the other, the nexus between democracy and economic growth.
Summary of literature focusing on the relationship between ICT and economic growth.
Summary of literature focusing on the relationship between democracy and economic growth.
Theoretical background
Theoretical background on the ICT-economic growth nexus
Overall factor efficiency, a gauge of increased outputs while retaining constant capital and labour inputs, is frequently used to study the impact of ICT on the growth of the economy. But more so, it has been determined that the neoclassical theory of economic growth is a suitable theory to explain the connection between ICT and economic growth (Awad, 2022). This idea contends that ICT could facilitate the equitable distribution of wealth. Awad and Albaity (2022) argue that ICT is considered to be able to improve inequality in income and economic growth through lowering corruption and encouraging freedom of economic activity. ICT can improve transparency, which appears to be essential for fostering economic growth and redistributing income (Dossou et al., 2023a, 2023b, 2023c). Ibrahim et al. (2019) hold that another way that ICT might help enhance growth is through foreign direct investment which provides job opportunities and ultimately increase the GDP growth rate.
Theoretical background on the democracy-economic growth relationship
Several theoretical arguments through which democracy could impact economic growth are subdivided into two; Arguments for and against democracy. They can be further explained as seen below.
The channel of property rights protection
North (1990) defines Property rights as those that have been given to a particular person and can be transferred as a substitute for equivalent rights over other properties. The corresponding rights specify how to use financial resources, exploit them for profit, and redistribute them in conformity with the legal requirements. Property rights are better protected by a democratic government's capacity to guarantee effective resolution of disputes brought on by the profits and losses that are associated with groups engaged in an economy that is evolving (Ghardallou and Sridi, 2020). Asoni (2008) argues that a stronger assurance of property rights results from a decrease in the threat of forfeiture by the government and individual agents. It ought to be highlighted that the political system's resilience and viability also play a role in the beneficial impact of democracy on intellectual property (Baklouti and Boujelbene, 2020).
The channel of political stability
A political system that is volatile discourages investment and slows growth (Alesina et al., 1996; Aisen and Veiga, 2013). Also, political turmoil renders it difficult to make choices in the future, reduces transparency, and deters investors from committing to projects. Julio and Yook (2012) reckon that, a democratic administration would reduce the likelihood of political unpredictability, particularly during times when leadership shifts, instead lengthen the duration of the administration by bolstering confidence in the long-term viability of the democratic process. As a result, democracy could be associated with long-term goals and wise economic decisions, which would reassure investors both locally and globally and encourage the generation of tangible assets (Gupta et al., 1998)
The channel of human capital accumulation
For a variety of justifications, democracy promotes stronger human capital growth. Tavares and Wacziarg (2001) argue that endogenous growth model supports the earlier claim and demonstrates that allocation, in the context of public schooling, is governed by a political system in a state of equilibrium. The Saint-Paul and Verdier (1993) model indicates that; the equitable distribution of wealth throughout society influences the amount of public schooling generated through a democratic process. The median voters will be able to cast more ballots in a democratic regime to convey their opinions for education. Greater fiscal burden, as defined by the median voter, encourages the expansion of public education.
The channel of technological innovations
The widespread adoption of cutting-edge technology and democracy has a favourable link, according to a range of reasons. According to Martinez-Bravo and Wantchekon (2021), democracy fosters technological advancement by permitting both the entry and exit of new businesses within the market. Democratic societies are places where people learn by exchanging ideas, analysing them, adjusting their positions, and revising what they already know. In a democratic system, these many traits promote the widespread use of new technology (Halperin et al., 2005).
Theoretical arguments against democracy
There is some debate over democracy's effect on the fluidity of growth. In reality, many academics focus more on the economic benefits of an oligarchy with reference to the operation of a democratic system, casting doubt on the beneficial association between both of these elements. Civil organization pressures have significantly less of an impact on dictatorships (Comeau, 2003). However, on the other hand, Gao et al. (2017) argue that democracy has no discernible positive impact on innovation as measured by the quantity, quality, and originality of patents. Nevertheless, democratic administrations often make short-sighted policies in order to maximize their odds of being re-elected (Gupta et al., 1998). Democracy, particularly, results in an enormous transfer of wealth from the wealthy, property owners, and the other middle class in the direction of the vast poor majority (Acemoglu and Robinson, 2000). In view of the aforementioned limitations of democracy, certain critics contend that the most effective form of government would be a well-informed authoritarian rule that prioritizes respect for the economic liberties required for the free operation of market forces but that also upholds the rule of law.
Empirical studies
Empirical studies regarding the relationship between ICT and economic growth
The inaugural body of this research evaluates the potential association between ICT and GDP growth. Over the previous years, findings of several studies have been undertaken on the relationship between ICT and economic growth. The vast majority of research supported ICT's positive impact on economic growth (Appiah-Otoo and Song, 2021; Bilan et al., 2019; Erumban and Das, 2016; Fernández-Portillo et al., 2020; Nasab and Aghaei, 2009; Niebel, 2018; Saidi et al., 2015). Considering the effective and quick spread of ICT, emerging markets like China, Brazil, South Africa, Singapore, Thailand, and South Korea are increasingly catching-up high-income industrialized nations, demonstrating the ever-changing and quickly expanding capabilities of ICT.
The positive linkage between ICT and economic growth can be explained using several channels. For example, ICT can help to attract foreign direct investment which by extension, could contribute to boosting economic growth (Awad and Albaity, 2022). ICT can contribute to the betterment of horizontal and vertical integration through connecting local production and international network which play a significant role in attracting foreign direct investment, and in turn can enhance economic growth (Dossou et al., 2023a, 2023b, 2023c). Similarly, through ICT tools (namely internet and mobile penetration), ICT can contribute to lowering obstacles to foreign direct investment which have the power to positively influence economic growth (Asongu and Odhiambo, 2020). Education is another channel via which ICT can boost economic growth (Chatterjee, 2020). ICT has a potential to reduce corruption, which can enhance the ability of governments to create a fair policy concerning the underprivileged. This assertion has been advocated by Xu et al. (2021), who concluded that decreasing corruption could help meet the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030 while minimizing disparities in wealth. ICT is crucial for advancing inventions, fostering entrepreneurship, and accelerating the global economy (Liu et al., 2021). Similarly, Ullah et al. (2021) argue that ICT is essential for facilitating trade and promoting regional cohesion. Implementing successful regional integration systems are made more accessible by ICT. This is because modern technologies are necessary for human development, enhanced wellness, and an ageing population, which benefits the country. ICT also enhances workforce productivity and talents, which have a positive impact on scientific research and development, global trade, and revenue thus subsequently impacting economic growth (Nair et al., 2020). In addition, ICT plays an identical function in other significant economic areas like online business, and electronic banking services. ICT is a turning point for digital trading since it opens doors and improves cross-border trade, which in turn spurs economic growth (Tay, 2020; Xing, 2018). Similarly, Wang et al. (2022a) argue that despite the fact that several recent studies are silent about the rise of ICT, by improving digital facilities, deepening the amalgamation of conventional sectors with internet connectivity, and developing targeted policies in light of variations by region, the expansion of the internet can affect green GDP growth and encourage urban technology innovation.
On the contrary, some research has yielded inconsistent and negative results on the impact of ICT on economic growth (Bahrini and Qaffas, 2019; Latif et al., 2018; Stanley et al., 2018; Raheem et al., 2020). For instance, an investigation carried out by Billon et al. (2021) to determine whether differences in education at the national level had an impact on ICT growth while using the internet. For the entire sample, they discovered that a link between access to the internet and educational inequality was negative. According to Maurseth (2018), there is a negative association that exists between access to the internet and economic growth. Nie et al. (2017) examined the relationship between ICT adoption through internet use, and multiple indicators of personal happiness, employing data collected by the 2010 China Household Panel Surveys. Their outcomes suggest that Chinese Internet users may be psychologically vulnerable due to a potential cultural element.
Recent studies have shown that ICT has a negative impact on employment and the labour market because those who are poorer are less likely to adjust to modern information technology, a condition that worsens poverty and income disparity (Vassilakopoulou and Hustad, 2023). Latif et al. (2018) further suggest that in the domestic marketplace, ICT is more advantageous for industrialized nations than for emerging economies.
Empirical studies regarding the relationship between democracy and economic growth
There are numerous discussions about how democracy affects GDP growth, and it can be explained through a variety of mechanisms which include the following;
Acemoglu and Robinson (2012) emphasized that while economics had disregarded politics, doing so was essential to understanding how to articulate socio-economic disparities. Densumite (2023) explored the connection between democracy and economic growth in 33 nations from 2010 and 2020 employing the Panel Vector Correction Model for Errors, Panel Unit Root, and Cointegration tests. According to early empirical findings, democracy promotes economic growth. Shabbir (2017) demonstrates the need of promoting democratic standards in order to reduce corruption and improve a country's GDP using panel data on D-81 economies from 1995 to 2013. Also, Salahodjaev (2015) experimentally examined the interaction impact of democracy and cognitive abilities on economic growth using data from 93 countries covering the years 1970–2013. The findings indicate that the correlation between democracy and growth in real gross domestic product changes depending on the degree of cognitive development of a country. According to Hussain and Haque (2016), there is overwhelming proof that the GDP growth rate and economic freedom are positively correlated. Research by Majeed et al. (2021) suggest that, a slight increase in economic freedom has a temporary negative correlation with GDP growth but an extended positive correlation. Heterogeneous consequences are confirmed by the fact that the decline in economic freedom has a negative but negligible influence on growth. According to Acemoglu et al. (2019), democracy does contribute to the growth of the economy. In the opinion of Li and Kumbhakar (2022), growth exists prior to many of the accurate underlying elements of freedom as well as the standard of freedom in a country. Drury et al. (2006) argue that economic development can result in a beneficial outcome of reduced corruption, noting that highly corrupt countries become less corrosive as they grow increasingly democratic. This is because citizens will expect and demand that politicians be accountable during their time of service. However, Mauro (1995) discovered that corruption discourages investment, thus slowing down the rate of economic growth. In a study conducted by De Haan and Siermann (1996), the link between democracy and GDP growth is not particularly significant. Since market failure frequently contributes to ecological problems in a contemporary democracy (Rapsikevicius et al., 2021), the destruction of the environment also happens when there is excessive economic freedom. A study conducted by Baklouti and Boujelbene (2020) revealed that democracy and GDP growth are causally related in both directions. Additionally, it was discovered that governance stability affects the impact of democracy on the economy.
Given the arguments made above, the hypothesis of the study can be formulated as follows:
Based on the aforementioned prior literature, this study reveals mixed results concerning the contribution of ICT to Africa's economic growth between 2000 and 2020, which is consistent with the motivation underlying the study discussed in the introduction.
Model specification, data and methodology
Model specification
To examine the moderation of information and communication technology on the nexus between democracy and economic growth, we follow a study that has examined the moderating effect in economic development by focusing on economic growth. For example, Malanski and Pontifícia (2021) who have investigated the moderation of economic freedom on the corruption-economic growth relationship. Moreover, Asongu and Odhiambo (2020) have investigated the moderating effect of ICT on the FDI-economic growth linkage. However, these studies have failed to examine the moderation of ICT on the relationship between democracy-economic growth. As the aim of this study is to fill this gap, our model can be written as follows:
The net effect of democracy on economic growth can be deducted from Equation 1 as follows:
Data
This study makes use of a panel of 26 African countries 4 over the period 2000–2020.The limited data on democracy has forced us to focus on 26 African economies. The sample period has been chosen because of the remarkable expansion of economic growth over the last two decades as well as constraints in data availability at the time of the study. The data on inflation, economic growth, internet penetration, mobile penetration, financial development, foreign direct investment, trade openness, population and education were obtained from the World Bank of the World Development Indicators (WDIs). The data on democracy were emanated from the Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem).
Variable of our interest
Democracy indicators
Five democracy indicators (i.e., electoral democracy, liberal democracy, participatory democracy, deliberative democracy and egalitarian democracy) have been used to proxy democracy in this study. In recent years, these indicators have been used in other fields of economic development. For example, Acheampong et al. (2022) have used these indicators to examine the impact of democracy on environmental degradation in Africa. Similarly, using these indicators, Acheampong and Opoku (2023) examined the moderating effect of democracy on the energy-economic growth nexus in Africa. In the same vein, Acheampong and Opoku (2023) used these five indicators to examine the moderation of democracy on the energy justice-deforestation relationship in Africa.
Economic growth
In accordance with the economic development literature (Asongu and Odhiambo, 2020), GDP growth and GDP per capita have been used to proxy economic growth. These indicators have recently been used by Asongu and Odhiambo (2020) to examine the moderation of ICT on the relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth in sub-Saharan African countries.
Information and communication technology
Following a study by Adeleye et al. (2020), Dossou et al. (2023a, 2023b, 2023c), Asongu and Le Roux (2017), Asongu and Odhiambo (2020) and Ofori and Asongu (2021), internet penetration and mobile penetration have been used to proxy information and communication technology. For example, using internet penetration and mobile penetration as a proxy of information and communication technology, Dzator et al. (2023) examine the influence of ICT on poverty reduction in Africa.
Control variable
Financial development
Theoretically, financial development can be recognised as an engine of economic growth. According to a report made by the World Bank, financial market development has the power to increase small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) by providing financial service which plays a crucial role in development outcomes. 5 Moreover, it contributes to economic development by reducing income inequality and poverty through providing financial access to the vulnerable groups. It contributes also to the diversification of the economy (Abbas et al., 2022).
Foreign direct investment
Foreign direct investment has been found to play a crucial role in promoting economic growth (Dossou et al., 2023a, 2023b, 2023c; Xu et al., 2021). It has been believed that foreign direct investment has the power to increase foreign exchange, which by extension could contribute to promoting economic growth. According to Asafo-adjei et al. (2023), foreign direct investment can enhance economic growth through technological improvement and knowledge spillover. Moreover, foreign direct investment has been argued to increase tax revenue which in turn could promote economic growth. It is also argued that FDI can improve managerial skills. Considering these channels, a myriad of literature has assessed the FDI-economic growth nexus in both developed and developing nations (Asafo-adjei et al., 2023; Osei and Kim, 2020; Pegkas, 2015; Popescu, 2014). However, the findings regarding the FDI-economic growth nexus are mixed and inconclusive (Asafo-adjei et al., 2023). While a myriad of studies has found a positive contribution of FDI to economic growth, a few studies have shown no relationship between FDI and economic growth.
Trade openness
In accordance with the trade openness-economic growth literature, trade openness has been argued to promote innovation, increase productivity and promote economic growth (Fatima et al., 2020). Moreover, trade liberalization has the power to provide new market opportunities for local companies which play a significant role in economic performance. Furthermore, it can contribute to the promotion of economic integration which has been pointed out as a major contributor to economic growth. 6 Over the last two decades, the trade openness-economic growth nexus has been investigated by many scholars (Fatima et al., 2020).
Population
In accordance with Asongu and Odhiambo (2020) who have assessed the moderation of ICT on the FDI-economic growth nexus, we consider population in our model. The idea is divergent toward the effect of population growth on economic growth (Peterson, 2017). According to the author, population growth seems to retard economic growth, as natural resources are very scarce. However, population growth has also been shown to enhance economic growth. For example, population growth in the United States has led to more access to labor which has the power to increase productivity. 7
Education
Education improvement seems to increase productivity and promote innovation (Marquez-Ramos and Mourelle, 2019). Moreover, it has been documented that the promotion of quality education can stimulate entrepreneurship which has been pointed out as a major driver of economic growth. Hence an increase in education can lead to the promotion of economic growth.
Methodology
To assess the moderating impact of information and communication technology on the democracy-economic growth nexus, we start by examining a preliminary test such as cross-sectional dependence test. In recent years, Africa has appeared to improve its economic integration by implementing the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA). As explained by Xu et al. (2022), in such case, it is important to look at the cross-sectional dependence test as it helps to prevent external shock. According to extant studies (Dossou et al., 2023a, 2023b, 2023c), failing to address the issue of cross sectional dependence in the context where Africa has embarked in the process of the African Continental Free Trade Area could lead to a bias result (Dossou et al., 2023a, 2023b, 2023c; Xu et al., 2022). Therefore, we use Pesaran (2004) to examine cross sectional dependence. As revealed in Table 3, all variables are statistically significant, meaning that there is existence of cross-sectional dependence. As argued by Xu et al. (2022), the presence of the cross-sectional dependence needs an appropriate estimation technique. Implying that, the panel corrected standard errors (PCSE) estimation technique developed by Jönsson (2005) has been applied to account for the cross-sectional dependence.
Pesaran (2004) cross-sectional dependence test.
p < 0.001.
Results and discussion
Descriptive statistics and correlation matrix
The descriptive statistics and correlation matrix are disclosed in Tables 3 and 4, respectively. As shown in Table 3, the mean values of GDP growth and GDP per capita (log) are 4.059 and 8.024, respectively. Moreover, the average values of internet and mobile penetration are 11.079 and 49.397, respectively. Further, the average values of democracy (electoral democracy, liberal democracy, participatory democracy, deliberative democracy and egalitarian democracy) are 0.498, 0.364, 0.306, 0.406 and 0.340, respectively (Table 5).
Descriptive statistics.
Correlation matrix.
***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.
Effects of ICT and democracy on economic growth
Table 6 discloses the influence of ICT and democracy on economic growth. Considering the first aim of this study, we find that ICT enhances economic growth in Africa. Our finding is in line with Abendin et al. (2022) who argued that ICT has the potential to reduce tariff barriers via promoting e-commerce which has been pointed as the main propeller of economic growth. Moreover, Asongu and Le Roux (2017) supported our finding by pointing the positive and significant effect of information and communication technology on inclusive human development which has been articulated as the main driver of economic growth. Our finding is consistent with the argument of Dossou et al. (2023a, 2023b, 2023c) who documented that ICT has a profound effect on entrepreneurship which has been found as a major propeller of economic growth. In the same vein, our results have been supported by the argument of Nchofoung and Asongu (2022) who documented that the advent of technology has propelled economic growth through promoting financial development and educational outcomes. Further, the authors pointed out structural transformation which needs the aid of ICT as a major driver of economic growth. In the same account, Cheng et al. (2021) explain our results by arguing that ICT can enhance economic growth through increasing productivity. Moreover, our results align with the argument of Nchofoung and Asongu (2022) who posit that ICT can boost globalization, which by extension, can propel economic growth due to the improvement of economies of scale. However, our results are not consistent the findings of Mohammed and Sulong (2017) who hold that ICT can harm economic growth due the absence of economic transformation.
Effects of ICT and democracy on economic growth.
Standard errors in parentheses. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.
The estimated coefficients of democracy indicators, namely electoral democracy, liberal democracy, participatory democracy, deliberative democracy and egalitarian democracy, are positively and statistically significant. The implication is that the improvement of democracy in Africa can foster economic growth. Economic growth can be promoted or enhanced through the improvement of a democratic regime. This finding is consistent with the argument of De Haan and Siermann (1996) who posited that the government or private sector might be exposed to free press and open public debate which appear to propel economic growth. Moreover, political and civil freedom might control government action in order to implement a policy that could contribute to promote sustainable economic growth. Our result is aligned with the argument of Doucouliagos and Ulubas (2008) who documented that pro-growth governmental policy can be supported by a democratic regime. Further, our result is consistent with Bardhan (1993) who showed that the enhancement of economic growth can be done through a sound leadership which might contribute to improve technical change and market conditions. Our results have been supported by the argument that electoral democracy has the power to force governments to improve the living conditions of the marginalized people.
As disclosed from Column 8 to Column 12, the results unveil that the interaction between ICT and democracy indicators (electoral democracy, liberal democracy, participatory democracy, deliberative democracy and egalitarian democracy) has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. This implies that the advancement of technology can help to improve the electoral process through increasing transparency which has been pointed as important for pro-growth policy. Further, Ben Ali (2020) gives credit to our result by documenting that ICT usage has the potential to report and reduce administrative abuses as it occur from an autocratic regime. Moreover, the authors said that ICT has the power to provide information for voters in order to avoid corrupt politicians who do not care about the pro-growth policy (Bhattacherjee and Shrivastava, 2018). Making a compelling case, Ben Ali (2020) support our finding by positing that the use of ICT can help to improve freedom of speech, the free flow of information and the promotion of human rights. Further, a recent report supports our finding by documenting that ICT has the potential to improve transparency in governance structures and brings governments accountable to their respective mandates. 8 Our finding is consistent with Kabir and Alam (2021) who argued that the choice of investment and financial destiny can be controlled by people who feel free democratically. According to the authors, these investments and financial destiny can help to propel economic growth. Similarly, our results support the argument of Kabir and Alam (2021) who argued that improving the quality of democratic institutions can contribute to the improvement of economic freedom and financial system which can foster economic growth in both developed and developing countries.
We find that financial underdevelopment undermines economic growth. This means that as financial underdevelopment increases, economic growth slows. This finding is not surprising given the fact that Africa continues to deal with financial barriers (Tchamyou et al., 2019a, 2019b). Our finding is not consistent with the argument of Bloch and Tang (2003) who noticed that the development of banks can facilitate technological innovation which has the capacity to enhance economic growth. Moreover, the authors documented that improving the financial system can lead to the improvement of productivity growth which plays a vital role in economic growth. Our finding is not consistent with Guru and Yadav (2019) who indicated that the improvement of financial system could provide social gains through promoting innovation in the entire economy. The authors have further documented that a robust financial market could increase the level of entrepreneurship. Our finding is also not consistent with the theory of Levine (1997) who document that financial development can improve the diversification of the economy. Our findings subscribe to those of Roubini and Sala-i-Martin (1992) who argued that a financial repression can contribute to lowering productivity, which by extension, can hamper economic growth.
We also find a positive and significant association between foreign direct investment and economic growth. Our finding aligns with Xu et al. (2021) who posited that the promotion of economic growth through attracting foreign direct investment can be done if the host requires a minimum threshold in human development capital. It has been also argued that foreign direct investment can propel economic growth through economic stability and liberalized markets. Due to its linking to the world market, Ozawa (2015) argued that foreign direct investment has the power to generate and transplant technologies and skills which can drive economic growth. Further, the authors argued that foreign direct investment could contribute to economic growth by facilitating structural upgrading. As it contributes to increasing investment, Dinh et al. (2019) posited that foreign direct investment has the power to reduce the gap between saving and investment which could contribute to enhance economic growth. However, our finding contradicts the argument of Ayenew (2022) who said that foreign direct investment can undermine economic growth if the profits emanating from the sector are repatriated to the countries of origin. Further, foreign direct investment can hurt economic growth due to some global events. For example, Koçak and Barış-Tüzemen (2022) argued that the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has negatively affected foreign direct investment, which by extension, has lowered economic growth in recent years.
The coefficient of trade openness is positive and significant, meaning trade openness enhances economic growth. This implies that an increase in trade policies such as reducing import and export tariffs and non-tariff barriers can enhance economic growth in Africa (Fatima et al., 2020; Keho, 2017). The implication of this result can be explained by the fact that trade liberalization can promote economic growth through improving total factor productivity which is related to technology diffusion (Barro, 1997; Rivera-Batiz and Romer, 1991). Moreover, the authors continue to support our finding by arguing that trade openness can propel economic growth by providing access to goods and services and achieving efficiency in the allocation of resources.
The impact of education on economic growth is negative and statistically significant. These findings suggest that school exclusion could retard economic growth in Africa. Our finding is not in line with Marquez-Ramos and Mourelle (2019) who have pointed education as a major driver of economic well-being. Further, our finding contradicts the findings of Coman (Nuţă) et al. (2022) who stated that the quality of skill matters for the promotion of economic growth.
The results unveil that inflation has a negative and significant effect on economic growth. This suggests that an increase in the level of inflation could lead to a decrease in economic growth. 9 This finding corroborates the postulation that an increase in inflation could lead to an increase in nominal mortgage interest rate. Similarly, our finding is confirmed by Doan Van (2020) who argued that high inflation is always associated with uncertainty which by extension, can hinder economic growth.
Moreover, the results show that population growth promotes economic growth. This means that as population growth increases, the growth rate also increases. This finding does not align with the findings of Peterson (2017) who postulated that high population growth could undermine socio-economic development and thereby retard economic growth.
Robustness check
Robustness check1
A sensitivity analysis has been performed by using internet penetration as a proxy of information and communication technology. The results disclosed in Table 6 are similar to the early results.
Robustness check2
In accordance with the economic development literature (Asongu and Odhiambo, 2020), the robustness has been examined by using GDP growth as a proxy of economic growth. The results are very similar those disclosed in Tables 6 and 7. However, these results are not reported but are available on request.
Robustness check.
Standard errors in parentheses. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.
Conclusion and policy recommendations
The main purpose of economic growth is improving the economic well-being of a nation. According to many studies (Asongu and Odhiambo, 2020; Tchamyou et al., 2019a), the economic well-being of a nation can be improved by providing job creation, improving quality of life, increasing tax revenue, reducing poverty and income inequality. In order to provide more policies to achieve these goals, many scholars have investigated the determinants of economic growth in both developed and developing countries. Among these drivers, democracy has been found to affect economic growth. This has led to an extensive investigation of the relationship between economic growth and democracy However, regarding the findings of the relationship between democracy and economic growth, the literature has presented a mixed and inconclusive results. Such an inconclusive result has compelled us to re-investigate the relationship between democracy and economic growth using 26 African countries over the period 2000–2020. As ICT has been involved in many economic activities, we think that its involvement in democratic system can contribute to propelling economic growth. Therefore, this study adds to the literature by assessing the moderating effect of ICT on the linkage between democracy and economic growth. To achieve these goals, the panel corrected standard errors (PCSE) estimation technique has been applied. The results show that improving democratic system in Africa can foster economic growth. Moreover, the result reveals that increasing ICT infrastructure can boom economic growth in Africa. Furthermore, the results reveal that the interaction between ICT and democracy can boost economic growth in the continent.
Regarding to the findings of this study, we recommend that African leaders should promote a digitalized democracy in order to promote economic growth. Moreover, African leaders should involve digital infrastructure in their democratic system in order to improve living conditions of the marginalized people. Moreover, African governments should ensure freedom of rights and equality which remain important in the process of economic development.
The current study has succeeded in investigating the moderation of mobile and internet usages on the democracy-economic growth nexus. As there is a huge difference between developed and developing countries in terms of the level of democracy, it suggests that future research should consider the same issue using developed countries as a case study. Since our paper fails to consider the issue of endogeneity, it suggests that future research should use the GMM to investigate the same issue as well as consider both short-run and long-term effects with the relevant estimation techniques.
Footnotes
Declaration of conflicting interests
The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Funding
The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
