THIS PAPER DESCRIBES A METHOD FOR INCORPORATING EXOGENOUS PRICE CHANGES INTO INPUT-OUTPUT ANALYSIS AND THEREBY ESTIMATING THEIR IMPACT ON A REGIONAL ECONOMY. THE EMPIRICAL RESULTS DEMONSTRATE THAT WHEN THE PRICES OF WHEAT, ELECTRICITY, PETROLEUM, AND NATURAL GAS ARE INCREASED BY EXOGENOUS FORCES, THEIR EFFECTS ON WASHINGTON STATE'S ECONOMY ARE SIGNIFICANT AND DIVERSE. THE METHOD CAN BE MODIFIED TO ENABLE ITS USE FOR FORECASTING ENDOGENOUS PRICE CHANGES, UNDER CERTAIN ASSUMPTIONS.
Get full access to this article
View all access options for this article.
References
1.
Blakeslee, L.L., E.E. Weeks, P.J. Bourque, W.B. Beyers, and W.R. Seyfreid.1973. Wheat in the Washington Economy, An Input-Output StudyWashington Agricultural Experiment Station Bulletin No. 775.
2.
Bourque, P.J., and R. Conway.1976. The Input-Output Structure of Washington State, 1972Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Washington.
3.
Dorfman, R.P.Samuelson, and R.M. Solow.1958. Linear Programming and Economic Analysis.McGraw-Hill.
4.
Lee, G.K., L.L. Blakeslee, and W.R. Butcher.1976. Effects of Exogenous Changes in Prices and Final Demand for Wheat and Energy Resources on the Washington Economy: An Input-Output AnalysisPaper presented at the Western Economic Association meetings, San Francisco.
5.
Leontief, W.W.1965. The Structure of American Economy, 1919-1939 (2nded.) Oxford University Press .
6.
Moses, L.N.1974. Output and Prices in Interindustry ModelsRegional Science Association Papers: 32.
7.
Schluter, G.E., and G.K. Lee.1977. The Differential Effects of Inflation on Selected Food-Related Sectors of the U.S. Economy, 1967-1976Paper presented at the Western Economic Association Meetings.
8.
Stone, R.1970. Mathematical Models of the Economy and Other Essays.Chapman and Hall.
9.
Yan, C.S.1969. Introduction to Input-Output Economics.Holt, Rinehart and Winston.