The Auditor's Consideration of the Going Concern Assumption: A Diagnostic Model

Abstract

A central tenet of audited financial statements is the assumption that the reporting firm will remain in business for the foreseeable future, that is, it is a going concern. However, recent years have seen a wave of highly visible corporate failures that have greatly reduced investors' confidence in auditors' work. This paper develops a tool to evaluate the going concern risk of an audit client, within the risk analysis framework suggested by the auditing literature. The study is innovative along four dimensions. First, new developments in financial statement analysis research are applied to auditing. Second, in addition to quantitative indicators reflecting trends in financial statements, the model also includes qualitative corporate governance characteristics suggested by current audit practice. Third, the concept of going concern failure is broadened and is not restricted to legal bankruptcy. Finally, complementary multivariate classification techniques, logit, linear discriminant analysis, and recursive partitioning are used to provide predictive and interpretative guidance to auditors. Results suggest that a systematic interpretation of financial statements and an evaluation of investment and accounting decisions made by managers would allow auditors to classify firms before the advent of any economic loss. Furthermore, some ratios provide consistent signals about going concern failures. Implications about audit work are then discussed.