Abstract

Introduction
The United Kingdom (UK) ranks among the highest in the world in prevalence, healthcare utilisation and mortality from asthma.1–3 Asthma therefore represents a major concern for policymakers.5–7 There is, however, no comprehensive picture of the numbers of people with asthma or the associated morbidity and costs in the UK. This may reflect the fact that previous efforts have drawn on a limited number of datasets and have focused predominantly on a particular age group and/or UK nation.4,7–13 We were funded by Asthma UK to investigate the epidemiology, healthcare utilisation and costs of asthma care for the UK as a whole and its member nations, i.e. England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales. We interrogated serial, population-based national health surveys and routine health data in order to estimate the prevalence of asthma. Similar repeat surveys have proven useful in estimating the burden of asthma across different world regions.14–19 Here, we describe the challenges we encountered in synthesising and harmonising data from these surveys in order to derive UK-wide estimates on the most basic of these outcomes, namely the prevalence of asthma, which is the proportion of individuals in a population who have asthma at a specified point in time (point prevalence) or during a specified time period (period prevalence) or at any time during a year (annual prevalence) or at any time during their life course (lifetime prevalence). 20 It should be noted that a more objective diagnosis of asthma is based on careful clinician assessment, following the guidelines provided by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). In this essay, we propose possible solutions to help ensure that the significant resources invested in these national surveys generate comparable data on asthma and possibly other disease areas.
National health surveys
Each UK nation undertakes serial population-based cross-sectional surveys of randomly selected samples of people, broadly representative of the population living in private households. These surveys collect information on health and disease, utilisation of healthcare and social services and factors that affect health. The data are extensively used by policymakers and service planners for organising healthcare and to an extent social care services; they also serve as important data sources for researchers in investigating population health and its determinants. The surveys are implemented by respective national social and health service institutions and the survey instruments and data are archived by the UK Data Archive (http://www.data-archive.ac.uk/). Our study period was 2001–2012.
Health Survey for England
The Health Survey for England began in 1991 and is undertaken annually. It includes core sets of questions and anthropometric and biological measurements on various disease conditions; each year’s survey also focuses on a particular disease condition or population group. Participants are selected using a stratified random probability sample of households. Since 2001, all age groups, from infants aged six weeks and older, have been sampled. The respiratory module of the survey has varied in content but usually covers symptoms, diagnoses and treatment for asthma and symptoms of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Over the current project period, the respiratory module was included in the 2001, 2002 and 2010 surveys.
Northern Ireland Health and Social Wellbeing Survey and Northern Ireland Health Survey
The Northern Ireland Health and Social Wellbeing Survey was undertaken in 1997, 2001 and 2005/2006 but was replaced by the Northern Ireland Health Survey in 2010/2011 which now runs annually, both surveys having similar designs and topics covered. Respondents were randomly selected adults, ≥16 years; parents or guardians responded on behalf of any child in the household aged 2–15 years. We used the 2001 and 2005/2006 Northern Ireland Health and Social Wellbeing Survey surveys and the 2010/2011 Northern Ireland Health Survey.
Scottish Health Survey
The Scottish Health Survey began in 1995; it was repeated in 1998, 2003 and 2008, and then moved to a continuous (rolling) design with annual reports published since 2008. A representative sample of households and participants across Scotland are selected using two-stage cluster sampling. The survey included a personal interview undertaken by trained interviewers and a nurse visit in a sample of the participants that included anthropometric and biological measurements. For the current project, asthma-related questions were included in the 2003, 2008 and 2010 surveys.
Welsh Health Survey
The current Welsh Health Survey began in 2003, replacing two previous surveys: the Welsh Health Survey conducted in 1995 and 1998 and the Health in Wales Survey conducted five times between 1985 and 1996. The Welsh Health Survey has been undertaken annually and constitutes an unclustered sample of adults and children selected from strata of local authorities. The content of the Welsh Health Survey has been largely the same since it was established with the inclusion of questions on the health of children in 2007. For the current project, asthma-related questions were included in the 2003, 2007, 2008, 2010 and 2011 surveys.
Asthma questions across national health surveys
Asthma questions posed in respective national surveys in the UK.
Defining asthma and harmonising definitions across national surveys
Utilising the asthma questions across the surveys, we aimed to define self-reported: (1) lifetime and current symptoms suggestive of asthma; (2) lifetime and current clinician-diagnosed asthma; and (3) current treated clinician-diagnosed asthma. Our goal was to harmonise these asthma definitions across national surveys in order to derive both nation-specific and UK-wide estimates of asthma prevalence. However, formulating working definitions of lifetime and current symptoms suggestive of asthma was only possible within the English and Scottish surveys, while formulating working definitions of lifetime and current clinician-diagnosed asthma was possible within the English, Northern Ireland and Scottish surveys (Table 1).
A working definition of ‘current treated clinician-diagnosed asthma’ was derived using questions on both treatment and diagnosis from the English, Northern Ireland and Scottish surveys and by assuming diagnosis implicit in the sole Welsh question, ‘Are you currently being treated for asthma?’ While it is unlikely that Welsh respondents who reported being currently treated for asthma were never given a diagnosis of asthma, this still leads to a lack of uniformity across surveys. This might be important as some asthma medications are used for other conditions, and it is therefore possible that the prevalence of treated asthma in Wales has been over-estimated. Apart from the definition of current treated asthma, it was impossible to harmonise other working definitions of asthma across national surveys because the questions related to these definitions were not asked across all surveys.
Comparing estimates of asthma prevalence across national surveys
Empty cells mean no data available; although questions on treated asthma were asked in the surveys from Northern Ireland, data were lacking for these variables.
Standardisation was undertaken using the European Standard Population 2013 revision.
Unweighted bases.
All confidence intervals undertaken using the Poisson Approximation.
Weighted number of cases.
Concluding remarks and suggestions for future work
Serial health surveys are useful sources for estimating the prevalence of self-reported symptoms of a number of health conditions. In the field of asthma research, the International Study of Asthma and Allergy in Childhood (ISAAC) is an important example of a serial research study, which has generated comparable longitudinal data on the epidemiology and risk factors for asthma and allergy across different world regions. 15 However, as a result of the different ways in which questions on asthma have been asked across national surveys, our attempt to interrogate UK surveys has shown that deriving comparable prevalence estimates across UK nations is challenging. These differences limit the possibility of harmonisation and formulation of common working definitions of asthma across the four nations and limited our goal of deriving reliable UK-wide and nation-specific estimates of reported prevalence of asthma symptoms, clinician-diagnosed asthma and clinician-diagnosed current asthma requiring treatment.
Assessments of other disease conditions was beyond our remit, but we believe that a fundamental step in mitigating similar problems is that there should be greater dialogue and cooperation between institutions responsible for organising the surveys across the UK nations. Such closer working ties will ensure that consideration is given to ensuring core questions are posed across national surveys. This will then allow harmonisation of the definitions of asthma across nations and will facilitate derivation of a UK-wide and comparable national-specific estimates of the prevalence of asthma (and possibly other long-term conditions). In addition, such cooperation could facilitate the planning and conduct of the surveys during the same year and season across the four UK nations, where possible, which will ensure better comparison of the annual and seasonal variations in the prevalence of asthma across the UK. Similarly, as we capitalise on the potentials of the various routine data sets in the UK in addressing key population health questions, increasing efforts are needed to ensure that outcomes are consistently defined across nations and coding systems are continuously standardised.
Core set of asthma questions in defining prevalence measures for self-report asthma from UK national surveys.
