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Abstract

Theoretical cost/benefit propositions involving individual participation choices in the presidential nomination process are examined through an aggregate data analysis of turnout in the 1976 Democratic nomination contest. Precinct caucus turnout choice follows a pattern much more in accord with these propositions than does primary turnout choice. Both the ideological range and attentiveness of candidates sizably encourage caucus turnout. Primary turnout is encouraged only and unexpectedly by primary closure. These findings suggest that rational choice models can best explain the behavior of caucus activists who more thoroughly recognize and esteem the benefits delineated in these models than do primary electorates.

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TURNOUT CHOICE IN PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATIONS

Abstract

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