The effect of short-term speculation on the stability of house prices is examined in this article. It describes speculative activity in the 1979-1981 Vancouver housing market. A series of regressions show that short-term speculators diminished rather than amplified price fluctuations. The dramatic swing in Vancouver's housing prices during the study period is explained by speculation on the part of all home buyers.
Get full access to this article
View all access options for this article.
References
1.
ALONSO, W. (1964) Location and Land Use. Cambridge, MA.: Harvard Univ. Press.
2.
BAHL, R. W. (1968) "A land speculation model: the role of the property tax as a constraint to urban spiral."J. of Regional Sci.8: 199-208.
3.
CAPOZZA, D. R. (1976) "The efficiency of speculation in urban land."Environment and Planning A.8: 411-422.
4.
CARR, J. and J. B. SMITH (1977) "Public land banking and the price of land," pp. 119-142 in J. B. Smith and M. Walker (eds.) Public Property. Vancouver: Fraser Institute.
5.
CLAWSON, M. (1962) "Urban sprawl and speculation in suburban land."Land Economics38: 99-111.
6.
EDMUNSTON, B. , M. GOLDBERG, and J. MERCER (1985) "Urban form in Canada and the United States: an examination of urban density gradients."Urban Studies22: 209-217.
7.
GAFFNEY, M. (1961) "The unwieldy time-dimension of space."Amer. J. of Economics and Sociology20: 465-481.
8.
GOLDBERG, M. and P. CHINLOY (1984) Urban Land Economics. New York: John Wiley.
9.
GOLDBERG, M. and J. MERCER (1980) "Canadian and US cities: basic differences, possible explanations and their meaning for public policy."Regional Sci. Assn. Papers45: 159-183.
10.
GOLDBERG, M. and J. MERCER (1986) The Myth of the North American City: Continentalism Challenged. Vancouver: Univ. of British Columbia Press.
11.
HICKS, J. R. (1946) Value and Capital. London: Oxford Univ. Press.
12.
KALDOR, N. (1960) Essays on Speculation and Economic Stability. London: Duckworth.
13.
MAISEL, S. (1964) "Price movements of building sites in the U.S.: a comparison among metropolitan areas."Regional Sci. Assn. Papers and Proceedings12: 47-60.
14.
MARKUSEN, J. and D. T. SCHEFFMAN (1977) Speculation and Monopoly in Urban Development: Analytical Foundations with Evidence for Toronto. Toronto: Ontario Economic Council.
15.
MILLS, E. (1969) "The value of urban land," pp. 231-253 in Harvey Perlott (ed.) The Quality of the Urban Environment: Resources for the Future. Baltimore: Tol-Hopkins.
16.
MUTH, R. (1969) Cities and Housing. Chicago: Univ. of Chicago Press.
17.
SHOUP, D. (1970) "The optimal timing of urban land development."Regional Sci. Assn. Papers and Proceedings25: 33-44.
18.
SMITH, L. B. (1970) "The Ontario land speculation tax: an analysis of unearned increment land tax."Land Economics52: 1-12.
19.
WILLIAMS, J. B. (1935) "Speculation and the carryover."Q. J. of Economics: 50: 436-455.
20.
YEATES, M. H. (1980) North American Urban Patterns. New York: John Wiley.
21.
YEATES, M. H. and S. D. BRUNN (1983) "Cities of North America," in S. D. Brunn and J. F. Williams (eds.) Cities of the World. New York: Harper & Row.
22.
YEATES, M. H. and B. J. GARNER (1980) The North American City. New York: Harper & Row.