The major finding of this study is that accurate prediction of reliability indices for electric power systems1requires modeling of several operating considerations not usually present in analytical models. The principal features are the actual cycling duty of generators, the modeling of start-up delays, and the ex plicit treatment of unplanned unit outage postponabilities. All of these factors proved to significantly impact reliability indepen dent of system configuration or demand for electric power. The model presented here models all these factors in a computa tionally efficient manner.
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2.
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3.
Blackstone, J.H., JR.; Hogg, G.L.; and Patton, A.D.'A Simulation Model for Assessment of Large Scale Power System Reliability." IIE Transactions14:1 (1982), 60-69.
4.
Electric Power Institute, Texas A&M University.Effect of Operating Considerations on Reliability Indices Used for Generator Planning. TPS 77-719, Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, Calif. (April 1979).
5.
Electric Power Institute, Texas A&M University.Large Scale Effectiveness Analysis. Final Report on DOE Contract EC-72-5-01-5104. Texas A&M University, College Station, Tex. (December 1979).
