A system dynamics model has been used in policy evaluation for the U.S. investor-owned electric utility industry. We pro vide a brief description of the model assumptions and major applications. Illustrative results include (1) an analysis of the advantages of constructing power plants with short lead times and (2) the effects on electricity rates of an overbuilding pro gram designed to reduce dependence on oil or natural gas. We conclude with a discussion of model validation and current research.
AnonymousThe Utilities are Building SmallBusiness Week (March 17, 1980), 148-149
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AnonymousSouthern California Edison Raises Commitment to Alternative Energy in "Major Change " Wall Street Journal (October 20, 1980), 5-6
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Ford, A.Direct testimony for the Attorney General for the State of New Mexico Case no 1577Public Service Commission of New Mexico (June 1981)
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Ford, A.Lessons from Case 1454Presented at the 1981 System Dynamics Research Conference, The Institute on Man and Science, Rensselaerville, New York (October 1981)
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Ford, A. and Mckay, M.A Method of Quantifying Uncertainty in Energy Model Forecasts Report no LA-UR-82-1423Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico (November 1982)
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13.
Ford, A. and Youngblood, A.Simulating the Planning Advantages of Shorter Lead Time Generating TechnologiesEnergy Systems and Policy64 (1982), 341-374
14.
Ford, A. and Youngblood, A.Simulating the Spiral of Impossibility in the Electric Utility IndustryEnergy Policy (March 1983, in press)
Geraghty, D. and Lyneis, J.Feedback Loops The Effect of External Agents on Utility PerformancePublic Utilities Fortnightly (September 2, 1982)
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Shaw, R.Case Study Comparison of Utility Corporate Models Report no EA-2065Electric Power Research Institute, 3412 Hillview Avenue, Palo Alto, California (October 1981 )
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