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Abstract

PETER W. HOUSE has, since November of 1971, been with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency where he is assistant director of the Washington Environ mental Research Center in the office of Research and Development. He is the former president of Envirometrics, Inc. During his four and one-half years at the Washington Center for Metropolitan Studies and Envirometrics (April 1967-October 1971) he directed the development of three urban operation al simulation models, including the CITY models and the RIVER BASIN MODEL.

Dr. House received his master's degree in economics from Clark University and thereafter went to work for the U.S. Department of Agriculture as a research economist in the Economic Research Service (ERS). During his tenure at ERS (February 1960-March 1967) he performed a number of studies concerning suburban/ farmland and preferential tax assessment, and was selected to attend Cornell University to complete work on his doctorate.

Currently, at EPA, Dr. House and his staff conduct studies and develop forecasts which can move EPA to a position of being able not only to enhance the environment but also to provide for long-term preven tion of pollutants. He is project leader of the team responsible for development of the Strategic Environmental Assessment System (SEAS).

Two books under his authorship have recently been published: The Urban Environmental System: Modeling for Research, Policy-Making and Education, published by Sage Publications: and, with Edward R. Williams, The State of the System (SOS) Model, published by EPA.

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References

Meadows, D.H. et al. The Limits to Growth Potomac Associates Washington, D.C. 1972

A Proposal for Achieving Balanced National Growth and Development Committee print Joint Economic Committee of U.S. Congress (GPO stock no. 5270-01715) February 26, 1973

See, for example: Mar, B.W. Newell, W.T.

Assessment of Selected RANN Environmental Modelling Efforts Prepared for Environmental Systems and Resources Division Research Applied to National Needs

National Science Foundation June 1973

Hermann, C.

Validation Problems in Games and Simulation

Behavioral Science vol. 12 1967

Mihram, G.A.

Some Practical Aspects of the Verification and Validation of Simulation Models

Operational Research Quarterly vol. 23 no. 1 March 1972

Van Horn, R. Validation In T.H. Naylor , editor, The Design of Computer Simulation Experiments ( Duke University Press, Durham, North Carolina, 1969 )

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Richards, J.A. Sears, F.W. Wehr, M.R. Zemansky, M.W. Modern College Physics Addison-Wesly

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1962 p. 850

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For a discussion of these experiments, see References 11 and 12. Roethlisberger, F.J. Dickson, W.J. Management and the Worker Harcourt, Brace and World

New York

1939

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Hammer, P.G. , Jr. A Critique of the Role of Time Allocation in the River Basin Model Center for Urban and Regional Studies University of North Carolina Chapel Hill For the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency grant R-801521 June 1973 340 pp.

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Hummon, N.P. et al. An Evaluation of a Large Scale Model University of Pittsburgh Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency grant R-801326 report expected June 1974

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Forecasting, Planning, Resource Allocation Source Book Prepared by the International Research and Technology Corporation

Washington, D.C.

1973

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Lee, D.B. , Jr. Requiem for Large-Scale Models Journal of American Instiute of Planners vol. 39 no. 3 May 1973

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Alonso, W.

Predicting Best with Imperfect Data

Journal of American Institute of Planners vol. 34 no. 4July 1968

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Commoner, B. The Ecological Facts of Life (No Deposit--No Return In Raymond F. Kohn , editor, Environmental Education: The Last Measure of Man (United States National Commission for UNESCO , 1971)

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Lee, D.B. , Jr. op. cit.

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Regional Environmental Management Conference

San Diego, California February 26-27, 1973 Cosponsored by San Diego County Integrated Regional Environmental Management Project and U.S. International University Center for Urban and Human Development

22.

For a similar and independently-derived list which attempts to do the same for simulation reporting, see: McLeod, J.

Simulation: from Art to Science for Society

SIMULATION December 1973 center section

23.

A recent NSF grant to Britton Harris of the University of Pennsylvania, Laboratory Testing of Predictive Models: An Evaluation of Cost Effectiveness, is a step in this direction.

Diogenes revisited -the search for a valid model

Abstract

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References