Prospects for the UK Economy

Baker B. , Bloom B. and Davis D.J. (2016), ‘Measuring economic policy uncertainty’, available at www.PolicyUncertainty.com.

Bloom B. , Chen J. and Mizen P. , (2018), ‘Rising Brexit uncertainty has reduced investment and employment’, VOX CEPR policy portal, 16 November.

Born B. , Müller l. J., Schularick S. and Sedlacek S. (2019), ‘The costs of economic nationalism: evidence from the Brexit experiment’, Working Paper, February.

Breinlich B. Leromain L. , Novy N. and Sampson S. (2019), ‘Voting with their money: Brexit and outward investment by UK firms’, CEP Brexit Analysis No. 13, Centre for Economic Performance.

Carney C. (2018), ‘Guidance, contingencies and Brexit’, speech to the Society of Professional Economists, 24 May.

Chadha C. , Hantzsche H. , Kara K. and Young Y. (2019), ‘Political cacophony and the “Spring Statement”’, NIESR Policy Paper, 011.

Chadha C. , Hantzsche H. and Mellina M. (2018), ‘Bremia: a study of the impact of Brexit based on bond prices’, NIESR mimeo.

Chadha C. , Johnson J. and van Reenen R. (2016), ‘Leaving the EU would almost certainly damage our economic prospects’, niesr.ac.uk/blog/leaving-eu-would-almost-certainly-damage-our-economic-prospects.

Dolton D. , Hantzsche H. and Kara K. (2018), ‘Follow the leader? The interaction between public and private sector wage growth in the UK’, NIESR mimeo.

Hantzsche H. and Kara K. (2019), ‘Policy options for a no-deal Brexit’, Box B in Prospects for the UK economy, National Institute Economic Review, 247, February.

Hantzsche H. and Young Y. (2018), ‘Commentary: light at the end of the fiscal tunnel?’, National Institute Economic Review, 244, F4–F10.

Haskel H. (2019), ‘Will UK investment bounce back?’, speech given at the University of Birmingham, 11 March.

National Audit Office (2019), Contingency preparations for exiting the EU with no deal, Report by the Comptroller and Auditor General.

Office for Budget Responsibility (2019), Economic and Fiscal Outlook, March 2019.

Thamotheram T. (2017), ‘What does the data say about the trend rate of Total Factor Productivity growth?’, Box D in Prospects for the UK economy, National Institute Economic Review, 242, November.