Prospects for the UK Economy

Behrens K. and Mion G. (2017), ‘Estimating the costs and gains of TTIP and BREXIT for EU countries’, PRONTO Research Network Working Papers.

Bell D. and Blanchflower D. (2018), ‘The lack of wage growth and the falling NAIRU’, National Institute Economic Review, August 2018.

Carney M. (2018), ‘The future of work’, speech at the Central Bank of Ireland, September 2018.

Chadha J. (2018), ‘The OBR's approach to forecasting the impact of exiting the European Union’, NIESR Policy Paper, 004.

Chadha J. , Hantzsche A. , Lazarowicz T. , Pabst A. , Young G. (2018), ‘Understanding and confronting uncertainty: revisions to UK government expenditure plans’, NIESR Discussion Paper, No. 495, October 2018.

Costa R. , Dhingra S. and Machin S. (2018), ‘Trade and worker deskilling’, presentation held by Rui Costa at NIESR on 18 October 2018.

Crowley M. , Exton O. and Han L. (2018), ‘Renegotiation of trade agreements and firm exporting decisions: evidence from the impact of Brexit on UK exports’, Cambridge INET-Working Paper Series, 1839.

Dolton P. , Hantzsche A. and Kara A. (2018), ‘Follow the leader? The interaction between public and private sector wage growth in the UK’, NIESR mimeo.

Douch M. , Edwards T. H. and Soegaard C. (2018), ‘The trade effects of the Brexit announcement shock’, Warwick Economics Research Papers, 1176.

Hantzsche A (2017), ‘Box B: Lifting the cap? The importance of interactions between public and private sector wage growth in the UK’, National Institute Economic Review, November 2017.

Hantzsche A (2018), ‘The wage Phillips curve – another piece of the puzzle’, NIESR Blog, 24 May 2018.

Hantzsche A. and Young G. (2018), ‘Commentary: light at the end of the fiscal tunnel?’, National Institute Economic Review, 242, F4–10.

House of Commons (2018), ‘Brexit unknowns (update)’, Briefing Paper Number 8408, 26 September

Impullitti G. and Licandro O. (2017), ‘Trade, firm selection and innovation: the competition channel’, The Economic Journal, 128 (608), pp. 189–229.

Kara A. and Lopresto M. (2018), ‘Weakness in wage growth: what is driving it?’, NIESR Blog, 4 May 2018.

Migration Advisory Committee (2018), EEA Migration in the UK: Final Report, September 2018.

Office for Budget Responsibility (2018a), ‘Brexit and the OBR's forecasts’, Discussion paper no. 3.

Office for Budget Responsibility (2018b), Economic and fiscal outlook, March 2018.

Oulton N. (2018), ‘The UK (and Western) productivity puzzle: Does Arthur Lewis hold the key?’, Centre for Macroeconomics Discussion Paper no. 2018–09.

Rolfe H. , Ahlstrom-Vij K. , Runge J. and Hudson-Sharp N. (2018), Post-Brexit Immigration Policy: Reconciling Public Perceptions with Economic Evidence, report.