Prospects for the UK Economy

Bank of England (2018), ‘Monetary policy summary and minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting ending on 20 June 2018’.

Barrell R. , Dury K. and Hurst I. (2003), ‘International monetary policy coordination: an evaluation of cooperative strategies using a large econometric model’, Economic Modelling, 20(3), pp. 507–27.

Bell D.N.F. and Blanchflower D.G. (2018), ‘The lack of wage growth and the falling NAIRU’, National Institute Economic Review, 245, p. 40–55.

Carney M. (2018), ‘From Protectionism to Prosperity’, speech given at the Northern Powerhouse Business Summit – Great Exhibition of the North, July.

Carreras O. , Ebell M. , Kirby S. , Meaning J. , Piggott R. and Warren J. (2018), ‘The long and the short of it: what price UK exit from the EU?’, NIESR Blog, 12 May 2016.

Chadha J.S. (2018a), ‘Friday Flyer: Fiscal space – this time is different’, NIESR Blog, 5 June.

Chadha J.S. (2018b), ‘Commentary: The housing market and the macroeconomy’, National Institute Economic Review, 243, F4–9.

Cunliffe J. (2018), ‘A little bit of stodginess?’, speech given at the Cumbria Chamber of Commerce, Kendal, July.

Dhingra S. , Machin S. and Overman H. (2017), ‘Local economic effects of Brexit’, National Institute Economic Review, 242, pp. R24–36.

Dolton P. , Hantzsche A. and Kara A. (2018), ‘Follow the leader? The interaction between public and private sector wage growth in the UK’, NIESR mimeo (presented at Royal Economic Society Annual Conference, March 2018).

Ebell M. (2016), ‘Assessing the impact of trade agreements on trade’, National Institute Economic Review, 238, R31–42.

Erken H. , Hayat R. , Prins C. , Heijmerikx M. and de Vreede I. (2018), ‘Measuring the permanent costs of Brexit’, National Institute Economic Review, 244, pp. R46–55.

Hantzsche A. (2017), ‘Box B: Lifting the cap? The importance of interactions between public and private sector wage growth in the UK’, National Institute Economic Review, 242, pp. F18.

Hantzsche A. and Kara A. (2018), ‘Deal, or no deal? The £2,000 question’, NIESR blog, 16 February.

Hantzsche A. and Young G. (2018), ‘Commentary: Light at the end of the fiscal tunnel?’, National Institute Economic Review, 244, F4–10.

HM Treasury (2016), ‘HM Treasury Analysis: the long-term economic impact of EU membership and the alternatives’, CM9250.

Hix S. (2018), ‘Two years after the vote there is little certainty where the UK-EU relationship is heading’, LSE Blog, 16 July.

Hofmann C. , Osnago A. and Ruta M. (2017), ‘Horizontal depth: a new database on the content of preferential trade agreements’, Policy Research working paper, WPS 7981, Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group.

Kapetanios G. , Maule B. and Young G. (2016), ‘A new summary measure of inflation expectations’, Economics Letters, 149(C), pp. 83–5.

Kara A. , Lopresto M. and Piggott R. (2018), ‘Box B: Decomposing wages: the productivity gap persists’, National Institute Economic Review, 244, pp. F14.

Lenoel C. (2018), ‘Predicting recessions in the United States with the yield curve’, National Institute Economic Review, 244, pp. F42.

Lewis J. (2016), ‘What can Big Data tell us about the pass through of big exchange rate changes?’, Bank of England Staff Working Paper No. 579.

McCarthy M. (1972), ‘Some notes on the generation of pseudo-structural errors for use in stochastic simulation studies’, in Hickman B.G. (ed.), Econometric Models of Cyclical Behaviour, New York: Columbia University Press, pp. 185–91.

Nakamura E. and Zerom D. (2010), ‘Accounting for incomplete pass-through’, Review of Economic Studies, 77(3), pp. 1192–230.

Piggott R. (2016), ‘Post referendum developments in uncertainty measures: an update’, National Institute Economic Review, 238, pp. F78–80.

Riley R. and Rosazza Bondibene C. (2017), ‘Raising the standard: minimum wages and firm productivity’, Labour Economics, 44, pp. 27–50.

Rolfe H. (2018), ‘Government's message over free movement is deterring migrants in key sectors’, NIESR Blog, 16 June.