Abstract
Global economic growth is forecast to pick up from 3.0 per cent in 2016 to 3.1 per cent in 2017 and 3.5 per cent in 2018 – a slightly weaker acceleration than projected last November.
The unexpected result of the US presidential election has dominated recent financial market developments, with hikes in bond yields, a further appreciation of the US dollar, and rises in stock market prices reflecting expectations of US tax cuts, infrastructure spending, deregulation and trade measures.
Our forecast assumes established policies. Potential policy changes in the US and any response in the rest of the world therefore pose significant risks to our projections.
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