An analytical methodology is applied to assess the likelihood and scope of U.S. pressure on Israel within a given short-term framework and under a specific scenario. The assessment is carried out through a hierarchical model describing elements relevant to the problem. By considering interactions between these elements and assessing their priorities, specific questions can be answered. The methodology presented in this article is flexible and can be easily adapted to other situations. The mathematical framework ensures that all details of the analysis are considered and results integrated in a cohesive unit.
Get full access to this article
View all access options for this article.
References
1.
Arbel, A. and R. Tong (1982) “On the generation of alternatives in decision analysis problems.”J. of the Operational Research Society33, 4: 377-387.
2.
Arbel, A. , T. L. Saaty, and L. G. Vargas (forthcoming) Nuclear Balance and the Party Index: The Role of Intangibles in Decisions.
3.
Ben-Zvi, A. (1982) The Reagan Presidency and the Palestinian Predicament. Paper No. 16. Tel Aviv: Center for Strategic Studies, September.
4.
Brecher, M. (1975) Decisions in Israel's Foreign Policy. New Haven, CT: Yale Univ. Press.
5.
Novik, N. (forthcoming) The United States and Israel: Domestic Sources of a Changing Commitment.
6.
Novik, N [ed.] (1983) Israel in U.S. Foreign and Security Policies.Tel Aviv: Jaffee Center for Strategic Studies.
7.
Saaty, T. L. (1980) The Analytic Hierarchy Process. New York: McGraw-Hill.
8.
Saaty, T. L. and L. G. Vargas (1982) The Logic of Priorities. Boston: Kluwer-Nijhoff.
9.
Schoemaker, P. J. and C. C. Waid (1982) “An experiment comparison of different approaches to determining weights in additive utility models.”Management Sci.28, 2: 182-196.
10.
Slovic, P. , B. Fischhoff, and S. Lichtenstein (1977) Behavioral Decision Theory. Annual Reviews of Psychology, Vol. 28. Palo Alto, CA: Annual Reviews.
11.
Tversky, A. and D. Kahneman (1981) “The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice.”Science211, 30: 453-458.
