Abstract
This paper focuses on the demographic implications of alternative peace settlements between Israel and her Arab neighbors. Two sets of demographic issues are discussed: (1) variations in the types of territorial and implied population adjustments that may result from a peace settlement and (2) variations in demographic dynamics of Jewish and Arab populations over the next 30 years. Models based on a range of territorial and population alternatives (from minimum to maximum) illustrate the tradeoffs between territory and proportion Jewish and between population growth and the retention of a Jewish majority in Israel. Although there are many complicated issues involved in reaching a peace agreement in the Middle East, the analysis presented here reveals clearly that demographic issues are part of the context within which decisions have to be made and evaluation of trends undertaken.
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