Subjects were given one, two, or three cues with which to make an either-or decision. Certain hypotheses were formulated to describe the subject's thought process in utilizing the multiple cues, and mathematical models were constructed to simulate them. The models were then used on data for the single-cue case to predict performance in the multiple-cue case. Predicted performance “data” were then compared with actually observed data for the same multiple-cue case, thus testing the predictive validity of the mathematical model and the tenability of the corresponding hypothesis.
Get full access to this article
View all access options for this article.
References
1.
BradleyJ. V.Complete counterbalancing of immediate sequential effects in a Latin-square designJournal of the American Statistical Association, 1958, 53,525–528
2.
BradleyJ. V.Utilization of multiple cues in paired comparisons. WADC Technical Report 59–548, September 1959
3.
BradleyJ. V.Tactual coding of cylindrical knobsHuman Factors, 1967, 9, 483–496
4.
CohenJ.Subjective probability. Scientific American, November 1957, 128–138
5.
CohenJ.HanselC. E. M.Risk and gambling: The study of subjective probability.New York: Philosophical Library1956
6.
CohenJ.HanselC. E. M.The range of subjective probabilities. Mimeographed English translation of article inJournal de Psychologie, 1957, 285–308
7.
CohenJ.HanselC. E. M.Subjective probability, gambling and intelligenceNature, 1958, 181, 1160. (a)
8.
CohenJ.HanselC. E. M.The nature of decisions in gambling. Equivalence of single and compound subjective probabilitiesActa Psychologica, 1958, 13, 357–370. (b)
9.
CohenJ.DearnaleyE. J.HanselC. E. M.The addition of subjective probabilities. The summation of estimates of success and failureActa Psychologica, 1956, 12, 371–380
10.
CohenJ.DearnaleyE. J.HanselC. E. M.Measures of subjective probability. Estimates of success in performance in relation to size of taskBritish Journal of Psychology, 1957, 48, 271–275
11.
EriksenC. W.Multidimensional stimulus differences and accuracy of discrimination. WADC Technical Report 54–165, June 1954
12.
EriksenC. W.HakeH. W.Multidimensional stimulus differences and accuracy of discriminationJournal of Experimental Psychology, 1955, 50, 153–160
13.
SiegelS.Nonparametric statistics for the behavioral sciences.New York: McGraw-Hill1956
14.
WilliamsE. J.Experimental designs balanced for the estimation of residual effects of treatmentsAustralian Journal of Scientific Research, Series A, 1949, 2, 149–168
