A total of 407 new admissions to Woodbridge Hospital, Singapore in 1975 with a diagnosis of schizophrenia were examined 10 years later to determine which variables were predictive of outcome. Useful predictors were marital status, duration of illness and Feighner's diagnostic criteria. Fairly useful predictors were age, sex and educational status. Race, family history, suicidal behaviour, thought disorder, affective blunting, delusions and hallucinations were not useful for predicting long term prognosis.
References
1.
TsoiWF, KokLP, ChewSK. A five-year follow-up study of schizophrenia in Singapore.Singapore Medical Journal1985; 26: 171–177.
2.
WattDC, SzuleckaTK. The effect of sex, marriage and age at first admission on the hospitalization of schizophrenics during 2 years following discharge.Psychological Medicine1979; 9: 529–539.
3.
JonssonH, NymanAK. Prediction of outcome in schizophrenia.Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica1964; 69: 274–91.
4.
McGlashanTH. The prediction of outcome in chronic schizophrenia IV. The Chestnut Lodge follow-up study.Archives of General Psychiatry1986; 43: 167–176.
5.
MurphyHBM, RamanAC. The chronicity of schizophrenia in indigenous tropical peoples.British Journal of Psychiatry1971; 118: 489–497.
6.
LoWH, LoT. A ten-year follow-up study of Chinese schizophrenics in Hong Kong.British Journal of Psychiatry1977; 131: 63–66.
7.
RinH, LinTY. Mental illness among Formosan aborigines as compared to Chinese in Taiwan.Journal of Mental Science1962; 108: 134–146.
8.
SartoriusN, JablenskyA, ShapiroLR. Two-year follow-up of the patients included in the WHO International Pilot Study of Schizophrenia.Psychological Medicine1977; 7: 529–541.
9.
WaxlerNE. Culture and mental illness: a social labelling perspective.Journal of Nervous and Mental Disease1979; 159: 379–395.
10.
HolmboeR, AstrupC. A follow-up study of 225 patients with acute schizophrenia and schizophreniform psychoses.Acta Psychiatrica et Neurologica Scandinavica Supplement1957; 115, 32: 1–61
11.
EastonWW. Marital status and schizophrenia:Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica1975; 52: 320–329.
12.
HeniszJ. A follow-up study of schizophrenic patients.Comprehensive Psychiatry1986; 7: 524–528.
13.
JonssonH, NymanAK. Prediction of outcome in schizophrenia.Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica.1984; 69: 274–291.
14.
StephensJH. Long-term prognosis and follow-up in schizophrenia.Schizophrenic Bulletin1978; 4: 25–47.
15.
FeighnerJP, RobinsE, GuzeSB. Diagnostic criteria for use in psychiatric research.Archives of General Psychiatry1972; 26: 57–62.
16.
SilversteinML, HarrowM. First-rank symptoms in the post acute schizophrenic: a follow-up study.American Journal of Psychiatry1978; 135: 1481–1486.
17.
BlandRC, OrnH. Schizophrenia: diagnostic criteria and outcome.British Journal of Psychiatry1979; 134: 34–38.
18.
AfflectJWQ, BurnsJ, ForrestAD. Long-term follow-up of schizophrenic patients in Edinburgh.Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica1976; 53: 227–237.
19.
BlandRC, ParkerH, OrnH. Prognosis in schizophrenia: Ten-year follow-up of first admissions.Archives of General Psychiatry1976; 33: 949–954.
20.
WattDC, KatzK, SherpherdM. The natural history of schizophrenia: 5 year prospective follow-up of a representative sample of schizophrenics by means of a standardized clinical and social assessment.Psychological Medicine1983; 13: 663–670.
21.
LloydD, SimpsonJC, TsuangMT. Art there sex differences in the long-term outcome of schizophrenia? Comparisons with mania, depression and surgical controls.Journal of Nervous and Mental Disease1985; 173: 643–649.