Predictive Value of C2HEST Score for Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence Following Successful Cryoballoon Pulmonary Vein Isolation in Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation

Abstract

The C2HEST score ((coronary artery disease (CAD) or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) [C2, 1 point each]; hypertension [H, 1 point]; elderly [E, age ≥75 years, 2 points]; systolic heart failure [S, 2 points]; thyroid disease [T, hyperthyroidism, 1 point]) has been validated for predicting incidental atrial fibrillation (AF) in both the general population and patients with ischemic stroke. The present study evaluated the performance of this score in predicting AF recurrence in 252 patients following cryoballoon ablation (CRYO) for paroxysmal AF. The AF recurrence rate in 3–12 months following CRYO was 20,2%. The predictive value of the C2HEST score was significantly better than that of the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ((congestive heart failure, hypertension, age (>65 = 1 point, >75 = 2 points), diabetes, previous stroke/transient ischemic attack (2 points), vascular disease, age 65–74 years, and sex category)) (area under curve [AUC]: .881 vs .741; P = .0017). C2HEST score of ≥2, increased atrial diameter, and E/e’ ratio as well as, the presence of COPD and systolic heart failure (SHF) were independent predictors for AF recurrence (P < .05). In patients undergoing CRYO for paroxysmal AF, the C2HEST, a simple clinical score, could be useful to assess the risk of AF recurrence.