Decision-Making Perspectives from Psychology

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Cartwright, D. (1971) "Risk-taking by individuals and groups: an assessment of research employing choice dilemmas ." J. of Personality & Social Psychology 20: 361-378.

Coombs, C. (1974) "Portfolio theory and the measurement of risk." University of Michigan . (mimeo)

Cyert, R. M. and J. G. March (1963) A Behavioral Theory of the Firm . Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall .

Downey, H. K. , D. Hellriegel , and J. W. Slocum, Jr. ( 1975) "Environmental uncertainty: the construct and its application ." Admin. Sci. Q. 20: 613-629.

Festinger, L. (1957) A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance. Evanston, Ill.: Row, Peterson.

Kirkpatrick, S. A. , D. F. Davis , and R. D. Robertson ( 1976) "The process of political decision-making in groups: search behavior and choice shifts." Amer. Behav. Scientist 20. 33-64.

Knight, F. (1921) Risk, Uncertainty, and Profit. New York: Harper & Row.

Lanzetta, J. T. (1971) "The motivational properties of uncertainty," in H. I. Day , D. E. Berlyne , and D. E. Hunt (eds.) Intrinsic Motivation: A New Direction in Education. Toronto: Holt, Rinehart & Winston of Canada.

March, J. G. and H. A. Simon (1958) Organizations. New York: John Wiley.

Milburn, M. A. (1976) "Source of bias in the prediction of future events." Presented at the annual meeting of the International Science Association, Toronto.

Miller, G. A. , E. Galanter , and K. H. Pribram ( 1960) Plans and the Structure of Behavior. New York: Henry Holt.

Newell, A. , J. C Shaw , and H. A. Simon (1960) " Report on a general problem-solving program." Paris: Proceedings of the ICIP, June.

Nygren, T. E. (1976) "Individual differences in judgments of dissimilarity, preference, and risk for simple three-outcome gambles." Presented at the joint meeting of the Psychometric Society and Mathematical Psychology Group, Murray Hill, N.J

Platt, J. (1973) "Social traps ." Amer. Psychologist 28: 641-651.

Pounds, W. F. (1974) "The process of problem finding," in D. A. Kolb , I. M. Rubin , and J. M. McIntyre (eds.) Organizational Psychology: A Book of Readings . Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall . (second ed.)

Savage, L. J. (1954) The Foundations of Statistics. New York: John Wiley .

Shannon, C. E. and W. Weaver (1949) The Mathematical Theory of Communication . Urbana: Univ. of Illinois Press .

Simon, H. A. (1960) The New Science of Management Decision. New York: Harper & Row.

Skjei, S. S. (1973) Information for Collective Action. Lexington, Mass.: D. C. Heath.

Slovic, P. (1964) "Assessment of risk taking behavior." Psych. Bull. 61: 220-233.

--- and S. Lichtenstein (1968a) "Importance of variance preferences in gambling decisions." J. of Exper. Psychology 78: 646-654.

——— (1968b) "Relative importance of probabilities and payoffs in risk taking." J. of Exper. Psychology 78: 1-18.

Thorson, S J. (1976) "Axiomatic theories of preference-based choice behavior an overview." Amer. Behav Scientist 20: 65-92.

Triska, J. et al. (1964) Pattern and Level of Risk in Soviet Foreign Policy-Making: 1945-1963. Stanford, Calif.: Stanford Univ. Press .

Tversky, A. and D. Kahneman (1973) "Availability: a heuristic for judging frequency and probability." Cognitive Psychology 5: 207-232.

von Neumann, J. and O. Morgenstern (1944) Theory of Games and Economic Behavior . Princeton, N.J.: Princeton Univ. Press.