Hungary has experienced a dramatic increase in suicide rates since World War II. In this paper, the trend is analysed in relation to changes in per capita alcohol consumption. It is demonstrated that the two trends are almost perfectly correlated. Time series analysis of filtered (de-trended) data uncovers a significant relationship at lag one year. Thus, changes in alcohol consumption tend to be followed by similar changes in suicide rates the following year. This pattern is found for both males and females. This result is discussed in light of results from other studies of alcohol and suicide in Hungary
Get full access to this article
View all access options for this article.
References
1.
Andorka, R.1991. The Social Differentiation of Some Forms of Deviant Behaviour In I Munnich & B. Kolozsi (eds.), Studies in Deviant Behaviours in Hungary.Budapest : Coordinating Council of Program Ts-3.
2.
Beck, A.T., Weissman, A. & Kovacs, M.1976. Alcoholism, Hopelessness and Suicidal BehaviorJournal of Studies on Alcohol37, 66-77.
3.
Box, G.E.P. & Jenkins, G.M.1976. Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control Revised ed. San Francisco: Holden-Day .
4.
Bruun, K. et al.1975Alcohol Control Policies in Public Health PerspectiveHelsinki: Finnish Foundation for Alcohol Studies.
5.
Cloninger, C.R. , Sigvardsson, S. & Boman, M.1988. Childhood Personality Predicts Alcohol Abuse in Young Adults. AlcoholismClinical and Experimental Research12, 494-505.
6.
Cseh-Szombathy, L.1963. Az ongyilkosságok társadalmi jellege [The social character of suicide]Demográfia11963.2.
7.
Diekstra, R.F.W.1985. Suicide and Suicide Attempts in the European Economic Community: An Analysis of Trends, with Special Emphasis upon Trends among the YoungSuicide and Life- Threatening Behavior15, 27-42.
8.
Durkheim, E.1951[1897]. Suicide. A Study in SoctologyNew York: Free Press.
9.
Elekes, Z.1989. Relationship between the Regional Differences of Alcoholism and SuicidePaper presented at the 14th Annual Alcohol Epidemiology Symposium, Berkeley, June 1988.
10.
Elekes, Z.1992. Suicide and Alcoholism in HungaryPaper presented at the 16th Annual Alcohol Epidemiology Symposium, Toronto, June 1992.
11.
Garfinkel, B.D., Froese, A. & Hood, J.1982. Suicide Attempts in Children and AdolescentsAmerican Journal of Psychiatry39, 1257-1261.
12.
Granger, C W. J.1980. Testing CausalityJournal of Economics and Control2, 239-352.
13.
Jegesy, A. & Harsányi, L.1991. Complex Study on Suicide in Baranya County in 1983-1987 In I. Munnich & B. Kolozsi (eds.) Studies in Deviant Behavrours in Hungary. Budapest: Coordinating Council of Program Ts-3.
14.
Jellinek, E.M.1960. The Disease Concept of AlcoholismNew Brunswick, N.J: Rutgers Center of Alcohol Studies .
15.
Johnston, J.1984. Econometric MethodsNew York : McGraw-Hill.
16.
Ledermann S.1956. Alcool, Alcoolism, AlcoolisationParis : Presses Universitaires de France.
17.
Lelbach, W.L.1974. Organic Pathology Related to Volume and Pattern of Alcohol Use In R. J. Gibbins et al. (eds.), Research Advances in Alcohol and Drug Problems.Toronto: John Wiley.
18.
Makela, K. et al.1981. Alcohol, Society and the StateToronto : Addiction Research Foundation.
19.
Miltényi, K.1989. Az 1987-1988 évi öngyilkossági adatok osszefoglalása [Summary of the 1987-1988 data on suicide]
20.
Norstrom, T.1987. The Abolition of the Swedish Alcohol Rationing System: Effects on Consumption Distribution and Cirrhosis MortalityBritish Journal of Addiction82, 633-641.
21.
Norstrom, T.1988. Alcohol and Suicide in ScandinaviaBritish Journal of Addiction83, 553-559.
22.
Norstrom, T.1988b. Denving Relative Risks from Aggregate Data. 1. TheoryJournal of Epidemiology and Community, Health42, 333-335.
23.
Norstrom, T.1988c. Deriving Relative Risks from Aggregate Data. 2. An Application to the Relationship Between Unemployment and SuicideJournal of Epidemiology, and Community Health42, 336-340
24.
Ozsváth, K. & Kóczán, G.1991. Suicide in Critical Life Penods In I. Munnich & B. Kolozsi (eds), Studies in Deviant Behaviours in HungaryBudapest: Coordinating Council of Program Ts-3.
25.
Popham, R.E.1970. Indirect Methods of Alcoholism Prevalence Estimation: A Critical Evaluation. In R. E. Popham (ed. ), Alcohol and Alcoholism, pp. 294-306. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
26.
Skog, O.-J.1980. Liver Cirrhosis Epidemiology: Some Methodological ProblemsBritish Journal of Addiction75, 227-243.
27.
Skog, O.J.1985a. The Collectivity of Drinking Cultures. A Theory of the Distribution of Alcohol ConsumptionBritish Journal of Addiction80, 83-99.
28.
Skog, O.-J.1985b. The Risk Function for Liver Cirrhosis from Lifetime Alcohol ConsumptionJournal of Studies on Alcohol45, 199-208.
29.
Skog, O.J.1986. The Long Waves of Alcohol Consumption. A Social Network Perspective on Cultural ChangeSocial Networks8, 1-32.
30.
Skog, O.-J.1991Alcohol and Suicide - Durkheim revisitedActa Sociologica34, 193-206.
31.
Sundby, P.1967. Alcoholism and MortalityOslo : Universitetsforlaget.