Serum Interleukin-6 as a Biomarker for Early Prediction of Post-Operative Infectious Complications After Elective Pancreatectomy

Abstract

Background:

To investigate whether interleukin (IL)-6 could predict the post-operative complications of elective pancreatectomy early.

Patients and Methods:

Overall, 122 patients who underwent elective pancreatectomy from June 2020 to May 2021 in our hospital were enrolled. Interleukin-6 was measured on the day before and at six hours after surgery, and on post-operative day one, three, and five. The associations between IL-6 level and post-operative complications were analyzed, and the predictive value of IL-6 for complications was assessed.

Results:

Sixty-three patients developed post-operative complications. Higher IL-6 was observed in patients with post-operative complications on post-operative day one, post-operative day three, and post-operative day five, with odd ratios of 1.43, 1.68, and 2.54 (p = 0.01, p = 0.01, and p = 0.01), respectively. These trends were also observed in patients with infectious complications preoperatively, on post-operative day one, post-operative day three, and post-operative day five, with ORs of 2.46, 1.95, 2.01, and 2.49 (p = 0.00, 0.00, 0.01, 0.00) respectively. Multivariate regression revealed that IL-6 is the only predictor for infectious complications on post-operative day one (p = 0.016). Based on the optimal cutoffs, pre-operative IL-6, IL-6 on post-operative day one and post-operative day three for predicting infectious complications yielded area under the curve (AUC) of 0.73, 0.70, and 0.70, with high negative predictive value of 82.7%, 92.2%, and of 91.3%, respectively.

Conclusions:

This study validated the early predictive value of IL-6 on infectious complications after pancreatectomy. Because of the performance of serum IL-6 in predicting infectious complications and high NPV, we endorse that IL-6 could be a potential biomarker for early prediction and antibiotic optimization after pancreatectomy.