Sage Journals: Discover world-class research

Abstract

There is scientific proof that the study of past analogues can help us to judge the development cycles of future projects. Faster transport of goods and persons has always been a major concern for humans in view of conquering next frontiers. It is therefore obvious that the development process of past transport means has a strong analogy with the developments of New Space nowadays and in the near future. We will therefore make an analysis of past sea, train, and aeronautical transport developments and financing processes in order, by analogy, to try to formulate conclusions for present New Space developments and their future evolution. We will also point out that each new development has encountered strong skepticism by experts. There is little or no hope that this will improve in the future.

Get full access to this article

View all access options for this article.

References

Fromm

, Hoevelmann

. Technology Assessment of Human Spaceflight: Combining Philosophical and Technical Issues. Paper presented at World Space Congress 1992. IAF, Washington, DC, 1992.

Neustadt

, May

. Thinking in Time: The Uses of History for Decision Makers. New York: Free Press, 1986.

Launius

. Power of analogies for advancing space scientific knowledge. Astropolitics, 2014; 12(3):127–131.

Rona

, Needham

. The Shorter Science and Civilization in China. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1986.

Sandrone

, Wagner

. Henry the Navigator and the Moon, IAC-07-D3.1.04. Paper presented at IAC. IAF, Hyderabad, India, 2007.

Johonnot

. Chapter V: Columbus and the New World. In: Ten Great Events in History. Auckland, New Zealand: The Floating Press, 2009.

Morison

. Admiral of the Ocean Sea: A life of Christopher Columbus. New York: MFJ Books, 1997.

Lalor

, ed. Cyclopædia of Political Science. 1881; 3:118. www.econlib.org/library/YPDBooks/Lalor/llCy888.html (Last accessed on January 12, 2014)

Derrick

. Centennial History of South Carolina Railroad. Columbia, SC: State Publishing Company, 1933 [as quote in Launius. 2014].

10.

Launius

. The railroads and the space program revisited: Historical analogues and the stimulation of commercial space operations. Astropolitics, 2014; 12(3):167–79.

11.

Peeters

. A roadmap for suborbital commercial passenger spaceflight. New Space, 2013; 1(2):81–90.

12.

Reed

. Lessons from the First Airplane. 2003. www.mackinac.org/5529 (Last accessed on October 3, 2015)

13.

Powell

. The army procures a flying machine. A backward glance. Natl Contract Manage J, 1978; 12(4):72–83.

14.

Holley

. Ideas and Weapons. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1998, p. 29.

15.

Ashfor

, Collins

. Your Spaceflight Manual. London, United Kingdom: Headline, 1990.

16.

Peeters

. Space Marketing. Dordrecht, Netherlands: Kluwer, 2000.

17.

Autry

. Exploring New Space Governmental Roles in the Emergence of New Communities in High Technology Organizations. http://gradworks.umi.com/35/95/3595814 (accessed on September 30, 2015)

18.

Space Watch. Prize Offered to Promote Space Tourism, Space Watch. June 1996, p. 39 (as quoted in Peeters, 2009, p.299).

19.

Diamandis

. The X prize competition. In Haskell

, Rycroft

, eds. New Space Markets. Dordrecht, Netherlands: Kluwer, 1998.

20.

Christensen

, Anthony

, Roth

. Seeing What's Next: Using the Theories of Innovation to Predict Industry Change. Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Press, 2004.

21.

Davidian

, Foust

. Suborbital Market Overview and application of Disruption Theory. Paper presented at IAC, ref. IAC-10-E6.3.8. Prague, Czech Republic: IAF, 2010.

New Space Analogues

Abstract

Abstract

Get full access to this article

References