Following traumatic brain injury (TBI), cerebral metabolic dysfunction, characterized by an elevated cerebral microdialysis (CMD) lactate/pyruvate (LP) ratio, is associated with poor outcome. However, the exact pathophysiological mechanisms underlying this association are not entirely established. In this pre-planned analysis of the BIOmarkers of AXonal injury after Traumatic Brain Injury (BIO-AX-TBI) prospective study, we investigated any associations of LP ratio with brain structure volume change rates at 1 year. Fourteen subjects underwent acute-phase (0–96 h post-TBI) CMD monitoring and had longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) quantification of brain volume loss between the subacute phase (14 days to 6 weeks) and 1 year after TBI, recalculated as an annual rate. On average, CMD showed an elevated (>25) LP ratio (31 [interquartile range (IQR) 24–34]), indicating acute cerebral metabolic dysfunction. Annualized whole brain and total gray matter (GM) volume change rates were abnormally reduced (−3.2% [−9.3 to −2.2] and −1.9% [−4.4 to 1.7], respectively). Reduced annualized total GM volume correlated significantly with elevated CMD LP ratio (Spearman's ρ = −0.68, p-value = 0.01) and low CMD glucose (ρ = 0.66, p-value = 0.01). After adjusting for age, admission Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score and CT Marshall score, CMD LP ratio remained strongly associated with 1-year total GM volume change rate (p < 0.001; multi-variable analysis). No relationship was found between WM volume changes and CMD metabolites. We demonstrate a strong association between acute post-traumatic cerebral metabolic dysfunction and 1-year gray matter atrophy, reinforcing the role of CMD LP ratio as an early biomarker of poor long-term recovery after TBI.
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