Logistic LASSO and Elastic Net to Characterize Vitamin D Deficiency in a Hypertensive Obese Population

Abstract

Aim:

The primary objective of our research was to compare the performance of data analysis to predict vitamin D deficiency using three different regression approaches and to evaluate the usefulness of incorporating machine learning algorithms into the data analysis in a clinical setting.

Methods:

We included 221 patients from our hypertension unit, whose data were collected from electronic records dated between 2006 and 2017. We used classical stepwise logistic regression, and two machine learning methods [least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and elastic net]. We assessed the performance of these three algorithms in terms of sensitivity, specificity, misclassification error, and area under the curve (AUC).

Results:

LASSO and elastic net regression performed better than logistic regression in terms of AUC, which was significantly better in both penalized methods, with AUC = 0.76 and AUC = 0.74 for elastic net and LASSO, respectively, than in logistic regression, with AUC = 0.64. In terms of misclassification rate, elastic net (18%) outperformed LASSO (22%) and logistic regression (25%).

Conclusion:

Compared with a classical logistic regression approach, penalized methods were found to have better performance in predicting vitamin D deficiency. The use of machine learning algorithms such as LASSO and elastic net may significantly improve the prediction of vitamin D deficiency in a hypertensive obese population.