Quantitative Ecology of Ticks as a Basis for Transmission Models of Tick-Borne Pathogens

Abstract

Tick population ecology is the basis of spatiotemporal variation in the risk of infection by tick-borne pathogens. The continental distribution of tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) in Europe is statistically associated with a specific pattern of the seasonal dynamics of Ixodes ricinus, and a particular characteristic of the seasonal land surface temperature profile. A tick population model would allow us to move from this statistical analysis to a biological, process-based model for TBE virus and the many other pathogens vectored by Ixodes spp. ticks in Europe and the United States. Long-term field data on I. ricinus are analyzed to provide empirical estimates of rates of the major demographic processes, development, questing, attachment to hosts, and mortality.