Abstract
The population and employment distribution model (PED) of the Office of State Planning, The State of New Jersey, forecasts municipal population by using both mathematical modeling and specific information about available municipal land. The improved methodology now contained in the PED is described. Other improvements to the PED include a more comprehensive plan simulation. Currently, model forecasts are being calibrated with the assistance of county planning staffs to reflect construction since the base year (1990), major zoning changes (both up-zoning and down-zoning: changes that affect municipal capacity), and recent subdivision activity. Past and present uses for the model as well as future model revisions are discussed.
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