We introduce a modified version of the competing destinations model as a framework to estimate how discontinuities in the road network affect commuting flows. An economic interpretation of the model is presented in terms of random utility theory and hierarchical destination choice. Based on data from western Norway, we estimate a set of parameters which are assigned to different aspects of spatial structure in a region where the road network is disconnected owing to numerous topographical barriers. The model is applied to predict how commuting flows in the region are influenced by transportation innovations where ferry connections are subtituted by tunnels and bridges.
BarkleyD LHenryM SBaoSBrooksK R, 1995, “How functional are economic areas? Tests for intra-regional spatial association using spatial data analysis”Papers in Regional Science74297–316
3.
Ben-AkivaMWatanatadaT, 1981, “Applications of continuous spatial choice logit model”, in Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications Eds ManskiC FMcFaddenD, (MIT Press, Cambridge, MA) pp 320–343
4.
DagsvikJ K, 1994, “Discrete and continuous choice, max-stable processes, and independence from irrelevant attributes”Econometrica621179–1205
5.
ErlanderSStewartN F, 1990The Gravity Model in Transportation Analysis—Theory and Extensions (VSP, Utrecht)
6.
FikT JMulliganG F, 1990, “Spatial flows and competing central places: Towards a general theory of hierarchical interaction”Environment and Planning A22527–549
7.
FikT JAmeyR GMulliganG F, 1992, “Labor migration amongst hierarchically competing and intervening origins and destinations”Environment and Planning A241271–1290
8.
FotheringhamA S, 1983a, “A new set of spatial-interaction models: The theory of competing destinations”Environment and Planning A1515–36
9.
FotheringhamA S, 1983b, “Some theoretical aspects of destination choice and their relevance to production-constrained gravity models”Environment and Planning A151121–1132
10.
FotheringhamA S, 1984, “Spatial flows and spatial patterns”Environment and Planning A16529–543
11.
FotheringhamA S, 1986, “Modelling hierarchical destination choice”Environment and Planning A18401–418
12.
FotheringhamA S, 1988, “Consumer store choice and choice-set definition”Marketing Science7299–310
13.
HansenW G, 1959, “How accessibility shapes land use”Journal of the American Institute of Planners2573–76
14.
LiawK-LLedentJ, 1987, “Nested logit model and maximum quasi-likelihood method”Regional Science and Urban Economics1767–88
15.
LoL, 1991, “Substitutability, spatial structure, and spatial interaction”Geographical Analysis23133–146
16.
JudgeG GGriffithsW EHillR CLütkepohlHLeeT C, 1985The Theory and Practice of Econometrics (John Wiley, New York)
17.
McFaddenD, 1978, “Modelling the choice of residential location”, in Spatial Interaction Theory and Residential Location Eds KarlquistALundqvistLSnickersFWeibullJ W, (North-Holland, Amsterdam) pp 75–96
18.
MaddalaG S, 1983Limited-dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometrics (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge)
19.
ManskiC F, 1977, “The structure of random utility models”Theory and Decision8229–254
NelderJ AMeadR, 1965, “A simplex method for function minimization”Computer Journal7308–313
22.
PellegriniP AFotheringhamA S, 1999, “Intermetropolitan migration and hierarchical destination choice: A disaggregate analysis from the US Public Use Microdata Samples”Environment and Planning A311093–1118
23.
PellegriniP AFotheringhamA SLinG, 1997, “An empirical evaluation of parameter sensitivity to choice set definition in shopping destination choice models”Papers in Regional Science76257–284
24.
SenASmithT, 1995Gravity Models of Spatial Interaction Behavior (Springer, Berlin)
25.
ThillJ-C, 1992, “Choice set formation for destination choice modelling”Progress in Human Geography16361–382
26.
ThillJ-CHorowitzJ L, 1997, “Travel-time constraints on destination-choice sets”Geographical Analysis29108–123
27.
ThorsenIGitlesenJ P, 1998, “Empirical evaluation of alternative model specifications to predict commuting flows”Journal of Regional Science38273–292
28.
WilsonA G, 1998, “Land-use/transport interaction models. Past and future”Journal of Transport Economics and Policy323–26
29.
WinstonW L, 1994Operations Research—Applications and Algorithms (Duxbury Press, Belmont, CA)
