Several hypotheses have been suggested to account for spatial variations in the changing pattern of votes between elections. Unfortunately, data are not available to allow direct tests of these hypotheses. However, an entropy-maximizing procedure for providing the best estimates of the needed data is outlined, means of testing the hypotheses are suggested, and a set of analyses using a hypothetical data set are presented.
ButlerDStokesD, 1974Electoral Change in Britainsecond edition (Macmillan, London)
3.
CoxK R, 1970“Residential relocation and political behavior: conceptual model and empirical tests”Acta Sociologica1340–53
4.
JohnstonR J, 1979“Regional variations in the 1979 general election results for England”Area11294–298
5.
JohnstonR J, 1980“Testing the Butler-Stokes model of a polarisation effect around the national swing in partisan preferences: England 1979”British Journal of Political Science10113–117
6.
JohnstonR J, 1981“Regional variations in British voting trends 1966–1979: tests of an ecological model”Regional Studies1523–32
7.
JohnstonR JHayA M, 1982“On the parameters of uniform swing in single-member constituency electoral systems”Environment and Planning A14(1) 61–74
8.
MacgillS M, 1977“Theoretical properties of biproportional matrix adjustments”Environment and Planning A9687–702
9.
ReesP HWilsonA G, 1977Spatial Population Analysis (Edward Arnold, London)
10.
TaylorP J, 1979“The changing geography of representation in Britain”Area11289–294
11.
TaylorP JJohnstonR J, 1979Geography of Elections (Penguin Books, Harmondsworth, Middx)
12.
WillekensF, 1977“The recovery of detailed migration patterns from aggregated data: an entropy maximizing approach” RM-77-58, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
13.
WilsonA G, 1970Entropy in Urban and Regional Modelling (Pion, London)
